La Liga · 2019/20
2020-06-20 · 21:00
11.3869.1%
X4.4821.3%
29.869.7%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Ath Madrid
DWWLWWDWWD
6W 3D 1L · 2.10 PPM
Valladolid
DLLDLDWLLW
2W 3D 5L · 0.90 PPM
Goals
1.60
Scored
0.60
0.70
Conceded
1.50
40%
Over 2.5
40%
50%
BTTS
40%
By half
1.40
1H goals
0.90
0.90
2H goals
1.20
60%
Goal in 2H
80%
Corners
6.10N=10
For
3.60N=10
4.20
Against
6.70
10.30
Total
10.30
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateAt least one second-half goal
6/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
strongOver 8.5 corners
7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.60
Goals scored
0.60
0.70
Goals conceded
1.50
2.30
Total goals
2.10
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Ath Madrid attack
1.60goals per matchValladolid conceded1.50Matchup
Valladolid attack
0.60goals per matchAth Madrid conceded0.70Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.90
1H goals scored
0.20
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.70
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.70
2H goals scored
0.40
0.20
2H goals conceded
0.80
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
6.10N=10
Corners for
3.60N=10
4.20
Corners against
6.70
10.30
Match total
10.30
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.20N=10
For
2.50N=10
5.30
Match total
4.60
Over 3.5
Fouls
13.50N=10
Committed
13.00N=10
26.20
Match total
29.30
Shots
15.20N=10
Shots
8.20N=10
4.80
On target
2.70
11%
Conversion
7%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches14
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home69.1%78.6%+9.5 pp
Draw21.3%14.3%-7.0 pp
Away9.7%7.1%-2.5 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.578.6%
Over 2.557.1%
Over 3.521.4%
BTTS42.9%
Historical average
2.00–0.57
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
3-021.4%
3-114.3%
1-014.3%
2-014.3%
2-17.1%
Comparable corner averages
7.00–3.07
Average total10.07
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=14.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.571.4%
Over 9.564.3%
Over 10.557.1%
Over 11.521.4%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches21
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT66.7%45.4%–82.8% CI
Draw FT14.3%5.0%–34.6% CI
Away FT19.0%7.7%–40.0% CI
Remaining goals
1.48
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal85.7%
2+ goals38.1%
3+ goals19.0%
Who scores in 2H
Home71.4%
Away23.8%