La Liga · 2019/20
2020-06-19 · 18:30
13.1230.7%
X3.1930.0%
22.4339.4%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Granada
WLDWLWWWDW
6W 2D 2L · 2.00 PPM
Villarreal
LLLWWWDLLW
4W 1D 5L · 1.30 PPM

Goals

1.40
Scored
1.20
0.80
Conceded
1.50
60%
Over 2.5
70%
60%
BTTS
80%

By half

0.60
1H goals
0.80
1.60
2H goals
1.90
80%
Goal in 2H
100%

Corners

4.80N=10
For
3.90N=10
4.50
Against
5.90
9.30
Total
9.80
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

moderateBoth teams scored

6/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.40
Goals scored
1.20
0.80
Goals conceded
1.50
2.20
Total goals
2.70
70%7/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
0%0/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
60%6/10
BTTS
80%8/10
Matchup

Granada attack

1.40goals per match
Villarreal conceded1.50
Matchup

Villarreal attack

1.20goals per match
Granada conceded0.80
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.30
1H goals scored
0.30
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.50
40%4/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
10%1/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
1.10
2H goals scored
0.90
0.50
2H goals conceded
1.00
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
100%10/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
70%7/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.80N=10
Corners for
3.90N=10
4.50
Corners against
5.90
9.30
Match total
9.80
50%5/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
40%4/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

3.20N=10
For
2.50N=10
6.30
Match total
4.80
90%9/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10

Fouls

16.10N=10
Committed
14.40N=10
30.20
Match total
26.30

Shots

10.80N=10
Shots
13.20N=10
3.10
On target
4.00
13%
Conversion
9%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches46
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home30.7%23.9%-6.7 pp
Draw30.0%30.4%+0.5 pp
Away39.4%45.7%+6.3 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.556.5%
Over 2.534.8%
Over 3.519.6%
BTTS37.0%

Historical average

0.801.28

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

0-117.4%
1-013.0%
0-013.0%
1-110.9%
0-28.7%

Comparable corner averages

4.655.30
Average total9.96

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=46.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.560.9%
Over 9.552.2%
Over 10.537.0%
Over 11.530.4%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches16
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT25.0%10.2%–49.5% CI
Draw FT50.0%28.0%–72.0% CI
Away FT25.0%10.2%–49.5% CI

Remaining goals

0.81

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal62.5%
2+ goals18.8%
3+ goals0.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home37.5%
Away37.5%