La Liga · 2019/20
2020-06-18 · 21:00
11.3869.0%
X5.0918.7%
27.7112.3%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Real Madrid
WDWWDWWDWW
7W 3D 0L · 2.40 PPM
Valencia
DLWLWDLLLD
2W 3D 5L · 0.90 PPM
Goals
2.00
Scored
1.20
0.50
Conceded
2.10
50%
Over 2.5
70%
40%
BTTS
80%
By half
1.00
1H goals
1.50
1.50
2H goals
1.80
80%
Goal in 2H
100%
Corners
5.90N=10
For
3.50N=10
3.50
Against
4.80
9.40
Total
8.30
Signals
Key historical patterns
very strongAt least one second-half goal
8/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
2.00
Goals scored
1.20
0.50
Goals conceded
2.10
2.50
Total goals
3.30
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Real Madrid attack
2.00goals per matchValencia conceded2.10Matchup
Valencia attack
1.20goals per matchReal Madrid conceded0.50Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.80
1H goals scored
0.40
0.20
1H goals conceded
1.10
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
1.20
2H goals scored
0.80
0.30
2H goals conceded
1.00
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
5.90N=10
Corners for
3.50N=10
3.50
Corners against
4.80
9.40
Match total
8.30
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.90N=10
For
2.20N=10
4.10
Match total
4.60
Over 3.5
Fouls
12.80N=10
Committed
10.70N=10
25.50
Match total
24.40
Shots
16.30N=10
Shots
7.30N=10
6.70
On target
2.30
12%
Conversion
16%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches12
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home69.0%58.3%-10.6 pp
Draw18.7%33.3%+14.6 pp
Away12.3%8.3%-4.0 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.575.0%
Over 2.558.3%
Over 3.533.3%
BTTS58.3%
Historical average
2.17–0.83
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
3-016.7%
1-116.7%
2-28.3%
0-08.3%
2-18.3%
Comparable corner averages
6.50–4.08
Average total10.58
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=12.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.575.0%
Over 9.566.7%
Over 10.550.0%
Over 11.541.7%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches14
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT71.4%45.4%–88.3% CI
Draw FT21.4%7.6%–47.6% CI
Away FT7.1%1.3%–31.5% CI
Remaining goals
1.71
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal78.6%
2+ goals64.3%
3+ goals28.6%
Who scores in 2H
Home71.4%
Away21.4%