La Liga · 2019/20
2020-06-18 · 21:00
11.3869.0%
X5.0918.7%
27.7112.3%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Real Madrid
WDWWDWWDWW
7W 3D 0L · 2.40 PPM
Valencia
DLWLWDLLLD
2W 3D 5L · 0.90 PPM

Goals

2.00
Scored
1.20
0.50
Conceded
2.10
50%
Over 2.5
70%
40%
BTTS
80%

By half

1.00
1H goals
1.50
1.50
2H goals
1.80
80%
Goal in 2H
100%

Corners

5.90N=10
For
3.50N=10
3.50
Against
4.80
9.40
Total
8.30
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.00
Goals scored
1.20
0.50
Goals conceded
2.10
2.50
Total goals
3.30
70%7/10
Over 1.5
100%10/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
40%4/10
BTTS
80%8/10
Matchup

Real Madrid attack

2.00goals per match
Valencia conceded2.10
Matchup

Valencia attack

1.20goals per match
Real Madrid conceded0.50
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.80
1H goals scored
0.40
0.20
1H goals conceded
1.10
50%5/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
1.20
2H goals scored
0.80
0.30
2H goals conceded
1.00
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
100%10/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.90N=10
Corners for
3.50N=10
3.50
Corners against
4.80
9.40
Match total
8.30
60%6/10
Over 8.5
50%5/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
30%3/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.90N=10
For
2.20N=10
4.10
Match total
4.60
70%7/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10

Fouls

12.80N=10
Committed
10.70N=10
25.50
Match total
24.40

Shots

16.30N=10
Shots
7.30N=10
6.70
On target
2.30
12%
Conversion
16%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches12
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home69.0%58.3%-10.6 pp
Draw18.7%33.3%+14.6 pp
Away12.3%8.3%-4.0 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.575.0%
Over 2.558.3%
Over 3.533.3%
BTTS58.3%

Historical average

2.170.83

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

3-016.7%
1-116.7%
2-28.3%
0-08.3%
2-18.3%

Comparable corner averages

6.504.08
Average total10.58

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=12.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.575.0%
Over 9.566.7%
Over 10.550.0%
Over 11.541.7%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches14
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT71.4%45.4%–88.3% CI
Draw FT21.4%7.6%–47.6% CI
Away FT7.1%1.3%–31.5% CI

Remaining goals

1.71

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal78.6%
2+ goals64.3%
3+ goals28.6%

Who scores in 2H

Home71.4%
Away21.4%