La Liga · 2019/20
2020-06-17 · 21:00
15.0119.0%
X3.2529.4%
21.8551.6%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Osasuna
WWLDLDWLLW
4W 2D 4L · 1.40 PPM
Ath Madrid
DDDDWLLDDD
1W 7D 2L · 1.00 PPM
Goals
1.60
Scored
0.90
1.70
Conceded
1.10
60%
Over 2.5
20%
60%
BTTS
70%
By half
1.90
1H goals
0.80
1.40
2H goals
1.20
70%
Goal in 2H
80%
Corners
5.70N=10
For
4.90N=10
2.70
Against
5.80
8.40
Total
10.70
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateBoth teams scored
6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
strongAt least one second-half goal
7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.60
Goals scored
0.90
1.70
Goals conceded
1.10
3.30
Total goals
2.00
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Osasuna attack
1.60goals per matchAth Madrid conceded1.10Matchup
Ath Madrid attack
0.90goals per matchOsasuna conceded1.70Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.30
1.20
1H goals conceded
0.50
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.90
2H goals scored
0.60
0.50
2H goals conceded
0.60
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
5.70N=10
Corners for
4.90N=10
2.70
Corners against
5.80
8.40
Match total
10.70
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
3.20N=10
For
2.50N=10
5.50
Match total
5.40
Over 3.5
Fouls
15.00N=10
Committed
14.20N=10
27.20
Match total
29.10
Shots
16.20N=10
Shots
10.40N=10
5.30
On target
3.40
10%
Conversion
9%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches24
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home19.0%20.8%+1.8 pp
Draw29.4%37.5%+8.1 pp
Away51.6%41.7%-9.9 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.566.7%
Over 2.520.8%
Over 3.512.5%
BTTS45.8%
Historical average
0.88–1.08
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-125.0%
0-120.8%
2-012.5%
0-28.3%
1-28.3%
Comparable corner averages
3.79–5.13
Average total8.92
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=24.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.550.0%
Over 9.537.5%
Over 10.525.0%
Over 11.525.0%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches16
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT18.8%6.6%–43.0% CI
Draw FT43.8%23.1%–66.8% CI
Away FT37.5%18.5%–61.4% CI
Remaining goals
1.19
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal81.3%
2+ goals31.3%
3+ goals6.3%
Who scores in 2H
Home50.0%
Away62.5%