La Liga · 2019/20
2020-06-17 · 18:30
12.9532.3%
X2.9632.2%
22.6835.5%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Valladolid
WWLDDDLDWL
3W 4D 3L · 1.30 PPM
Celta
LLWLLDLDDD
1W 4D 5L · 0.70 PPM

Goals

1.20
Scored
1.10
1.10
Conceded
1.70
40%
Over 2.5
60%
50%
BTTS
70%

By half

1.00
1H goals
0.80
1.30
2H goals
2.00
70%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

4.10N=10
For
3.80N=10
3.60
Against
6.70
7.70
Total
10.50
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.20
Goals scored
1.10
1.10
Goals conceded
1.70
2.30
Total goals
2.80
70%7/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10
50%5/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

Valladolid attack

1.20goals per match
Celta conceded1.70
Matchup

Celta attack

1.10goals per match
Valladolid conceded1.10
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.30
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.50
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
50%5/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.70
2H goals scored
0.80
0.60
2H goals conceded
1.20
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
70%7/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.10N=10
Corners for
3.80N=10
3.60
Corners against
6.70
7.70
Match total
10.50
30%3/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
10%1/10
Over 9.5
70%7/10
30%3/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.80N=10
For
3.10N=10
5.00
Match total
7.10
70%7/10
Over 3.5
100%10/10

Fouls

11.70N=10
Committed
13.30N=10
28.30
Match total
27.50

Shots

11.10N=10
Shots
8.80N=10
3.30
On target
4.00
11%
Conversion
13%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches33
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home32.3%30.3%-2.0 pp
Draw32.2%39.4%+7.2 pp
Away35.5%30.3%-5.2 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.566.7%
Over 2.536.4%
Over 3.515.2%
BTTS51.5%

Historical average

1.031.09

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-118.2%
1-015.2%
1-212.1%
2-212.1%
0-09.1%

Comparable corner averages

4.365.15
Average total9.52

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=33.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.566.7%
Over 9.563.6%
Over 10.536.4%
Over 11.527.3%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches16
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT37.5%18.5%–61.4% CI
Draw FT37.5%18.5%–61.4% CI
Away FT25.0%10.2%–49.5% CI

Remaining goals

1.31

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal81.3%
2+ goals43.8%
3+ goals6.3%

Who scores in 2H

Home62.5%
Away43.8%