La Liga · 2019/20
2020-06-16 · 21:00
11.1682.6%
X8.0611.9%
217.425.5%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Barcelona
WWWDWWWWWW
9W 1D 0L · 2.80 PPM
Leganes
LLDLDDDLLW
1W 4D 5L · 0.70 PPM

Goals

2.90
Scored
0.60
0.70
Conceded
1.60
70%
Over 2.5
30%
60%
BTTS
40%

By half

2.10
1H goals
1.00
1.50
2H goals
1.20
90%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

4.70N=10
For
3.60N=10
3.40
Against
4.10
8.10
Total
7.70
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.90
Goals scored
0.60
0.70
Goals conceded
1.60
3.60
Total goals
2.20
70%7/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
30%3/10
50%5/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
60%6/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Barcelona attack

2.90goals per match
Leganes conceded1.60
Matchup

Leganes attack

0.60goals per match
Barcelona conceded0.70
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.80
1H goals scored
0.30
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.70
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
50%5/10
70%7/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
1.10
2H goals scored
0.30
0.40
2H goals conceded
0.90
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.70N=10
Corners for
3.60N=10
3.40
Corners against
4.10
8.10
Match total
7.70
40%4/10
Over 8.5
40%4/10
30%3/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.10N=10
For
3.80N=10
4.50
Match total
6.10
60%6/10
Over 3.5
100%10/10

Fouls

10.60N=10
Committed
15.30N=10
25.80
Match total
29.30

Shots

14.90N=10
Shots
8.60N=10
7.60
On target
3.50
19%
Conversion
7%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches19
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home82.6%94.7%+12.1 pp
Draw11.9%0.0%-11.9 pp
Away5.5%5.3%-0.2 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.584.2%
Over 2.557.9%
Over 3.536.8%
BTTS21.1%

Historical average

2.840.26

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-026.3%
1-015.8%
5-015.8%
4-010.5%
2-110.5%

Comparable corner averages

9.372.74
Average total12.11

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=19.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.578.9%
Over 9.568.4%
Over 10.563.2%
Over 11.552.6%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches12
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT66.7%39.1%–86.2% CI
Draw FT16.7%4.7%–44.8% CI
Away FT16.7%4.7%–44.8% CI

Remaining goals

1.42

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal91.7%
2+ goals50.0%
3+ goals0.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home75.0%
Away25.0%