La Liga · 2019/20
2020-06-16 · 18:30
11.5262.7%
X4.4521.4%
26.0015.9%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Villarreal
WWDLDWLWWL
5W 2D 3L · 1.70 PPM
Mallorca
LLLLDLLLDW
1W 2D 7L · 0.50 PPM

Goals

1.80
Scored
1.00
1.10
Conceded
2.20
70%
Over 2.5
70%
70%
BTTS
50%

By half

0.60
1H goals
1.50
2.30
2H goals
1.70
80%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

5.20N=10
For
4.20N=10
5.90
Against
4.20
11.10
Total
8.40
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongOver 2.5 goals

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.80
Goals scored
1.00
1.10
Goals conceded
2.20
2.90
Total goals
3.20
70%7/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
70%7/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Villarreal attack

1.80goals per match
Mallorca conceded2.20
Matchup

Mallorca attack

1.00goals per match
Villarreal conceded1.10
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.50
0.10
1H goals conceded
1.00
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
50%5/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
1.30
2H goals scored
0.50
1.00
2H goals conceded
1.20
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
80%8/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.20N=10
Corners for
4.20N=10
5.90
Corners against
4.20
11.10
Match total
8.40
70%7/10
Over 8.5
40%4/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
20%2/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.40N=10
For
2.00N=10
4.50
Match total
5.50
80%8/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

12.50N=10
Committed
12.10N=10
25.10
Match total
29.00

Shots

15.50N=10
Shots
10.70N=10
5.30
On target
3.40
12%
Conversion
9%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches53
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home62.7%62.3%-0.4 pp
Draw21.4%24.5%+3.1 pp
Away15.9%13.2%-2.7 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.581.1%
Over 2.556.6%
Over 3.532.1%
BTTS45.3%

Historical average

2.170.74

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-113.2%
4-111.3%
3-09.4%
2-19.4%
2-09.4%

Comparable corner averages

6.873.26
Average total10.13

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=53.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.566.0%
Over 9.552.8%
Over 10.543.4%
Over 11.532.1%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches15
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT40.0%19.8%–64.3% CI
Draw FT46.7%24.8%–69.9% CI
Away FT13.3%3.7%–37.9% CI

Remaining goals

1.53

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal80.0%
2+ goals46.7%
3+ goals20.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home66.7%
Away40.0%