La Liga · 2019/20
2020-06-14 · 13:00
13.7425.6%
X2.9632.3%
22.2742.1%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Ath Bilbao
LDWWWDDLLW
4W 3D 3L · 1.50 PPM
Ath Madrid
DDDDDWLLDD
1W 7D 2L · 1.00 PPM

Goals

1.00
Scored
0.80
0.70
Conceded
1.00
20%
Over 2.5
20%
30%
BTTS
60%

By half

0.80
1H goals
0.60
0.90
2H goals
1.20
70%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

5.90N=10
For
4.60N=10
3.80
Against
5.60
9.70
Total
10.20
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.00
Goals scored
0.80
0.70
Goals conceded
1.00
1.70
Total goals
1.80
60%6/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
20%2/10
Over 2.5
20%2/10
0%0/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
30%3/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Ath Bilbao attack

1.00goals per match
Ath Madrid conceded1.00
Matchup

Ath Madrid attack

0.80goals per match
Ath Bilbao conceded0.70
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
0.20
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.40
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
40%4/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
0.60
2H goals scored
0.60
0.30
2H goals conceded
0.60
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.90N=10
Corners for
4.60N=10
3.80
Corners against
5.60
9.70
Match total
10.20
60%6/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

3.10N=10
For
2.90N=10
6.70
Match total
6.10
90%9/10
Over 3.5
80%8/10

Fouls

13.10N=10
Committed
14.70N=10
27.70
Match total
30.10

Shots

14.50N=10
Shots
10.40N=10
5.00
On target
3.30
7%
Conversion
8%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches13
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home25.6%15.4%-10.2 pp
Draw32.3%30.8%-1.5 pp
Away42.1%53.8%+11.7 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.546.2%
Over 2.523.1%
Over 3.523.1%
BTTS30.8%

Historical average

0.691.23

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

0-130.8%
0-215.4%
2-215.4%
1-015.4%
1-17.7%

Comparable corner averages

4.384.38
Average total8.77

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=13.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.561.5%
Over 9.553.8%
Over 10.523.1%
Over 11.57.7%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches15
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT46.7%24.8%–69.9% CI
Draw FT13.3%3.7%–37.9% CI
Away FT40.0%19.8%–64.3% CI

Remaining goals

1.13

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal86.7%
2+ goals26.7%
3+ goals0.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home46.7%
Away40.0%