La Liga · 2019/20
2020-06-13 · 18:30
12.3141.3%
X3.0231.6%
23.5127.2%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Leganes
LWLLWWLWDD
4W 2D 4L · 1.40 PPM
Valladolid
WDLLDLDWLL
2W 3D 5L · 0.90 PPM

Goals

1.20
Scored
0.60
1.30
Conceded
1.40
60%
Over 2.5
30%
60%
BTTS
30%

By half

1.20
1H goals
0.90
1.30
2H goals
1.10
70%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

3.80N=10
For
3.80N=10
3.80
Against
6.90
7.60
Total
10.70
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.20
Goals scored
0.60
1.30
Goals conceded
1.40
2.50
Total goals
2.00
80%8/10
Over 1.5
60%6/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
30%3/10
10%1/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
60%6/10
BTTS
30%3/10
Matchup

Leganes attack

1.20goals per match
Valladolid conceded1.40
Matchup

Valladolid attack

0.60goals per match
Leganes conceded1.30
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.20
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.70
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
50%5/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
0.60
2H goals scored
0.40
0.70
2H goals conceded
0.70
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
3.80N=10
Corners for
3.80N=10
3.80
Corners against
6.90
7.60
Match total
10.70
30%3/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
20%2/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
20%2/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

3.50N=10
For
2.10N=10
6.70
Match total
4.20
90%9/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

16.00N=10
Committed
12.30N=10
31.10
Match total
28.10

Shots

13.10N=10
Shots
8.50N=10
4.90
On target
3.10
9%
Conversion
7%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches32
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home41.3%50.0%+8.7 pp
Draw31.6%34.4%+2.8 pp
Away27.2%15.6%-11.5 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.568.8%
Over 2.546.9%
Over 3.521.9%
BTTS43.8%

Historical average

1.560.84

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

0-015.6%
1-112.5%
3-012.5%
1-012.5%
2-09.4%

Comparable corner averages

6.094.66
Average total10.75

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=32.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.568.8%
Over 9.562.5%
Over 10.546.9%
Over 11.537.5%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches13
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT30.8%12.7%–57.6% CI
Draw FT61.5%35.5%–82.3% CI
Away FT7.7%1.4%–33.3% CI

Remaining goals

1.38

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal61.5%
2+ goals53.8%
3+ goals23.1%

Who scores in 2H

Home61.5%
Away38.5%