La Liga · 2019/20
2020-06-13 · 16:00
12.5936.8%
X3.3528.5%
22.7534.7%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Celta
DWLLDDDDWW
3W 5D 2L · 1.40 PPM
Villarreal
WLLLWWWDLL
4W 1D 5L · 1.30 PPM

Goals

0.80
Scored
1.20
0.70
Conceded
1.50
20%
Over 2.5
70%
40%
BTTS
80%

By half

0.40
1H goals
0.90
1.10
2H goals
1.80
70%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

5.00N=10
For
3.40N=10
4.20
Against
6.40
9.20
Total
9.80
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.80
Goals scored
1.20
0.70
Goals conceded
1.50
1.50
Total goals
2.70
40%4/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
20%2/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
10%1/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
40%4/10
BTTS
80%8/10
Matchup

Celta attack

0.80goals per match
Villarreal conceded1.50
Matchup

Villarreal attack

1.20goals per match
Celta conceded0.70
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.10
1H goals scored
0.40
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.50
30%3/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
0%0/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
0.70
2H goals scored
0.80
0.40
2H goals conceded
1.00
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.00N=10
Corners for
3.40N=10
4.20
Corners against
6.40
9.20
Match total
9.80
60%6/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
20%2/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.50N=10
For
2.50N=10
5.60
Match total
4.90
90%9/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10

Fouls

11.60N=10
Committed
13.80N=10
28.30
Match total
26.30

Shots

12.70N=10
Shots
12.80N=10
4.00
On target
4.10
6%
Conversion
9%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches116
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home36.8%37.1%+0.2 pp
Draw28.5%27.6%-0.9 pp
Away34.7%35.3%+0.7 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.573.3%
Over 2.546.6%
Over 3.521.6%
BTTS54.3%

Historical average

1.201.23

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-114.7%
1-012.1%
1-210.3%
2-19.5%
0-17.8%

Comparable corner averages

5.714.45
Average total10.16

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=116.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.565.5%
Over 9.550.9%
Over 10.541.4%
Over 11.535.3%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches43
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT37.2%24.4%–52.1% CI
Draw FT30.2%18.6%–45.1% CI
Away FT32.6%20.5%–47.5% CI

Remaining goals

1.67

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal81.4%
2+ goals48.8%
3+ goals25.6%

Who scores in 2H

Home65.1%
Away53.5%