La Liga · 2019/20
2020-06-13 · 13:00
12.1045.4%
X3.2029.8%
23.8324.9%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Espanol
LLLDLDDDWD
1W 5D 4L · 0.80 PPM
Alaves
LLLWLLWDLD
2W 2D 6L · 0.80 PPM

Goals

1.10
Scored
1.00
1.60
Conceded
2.00
40%
Over 2.5
50%
70%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.20
1H goals
0.80
1.50
2H goals
2.20
80%
Goal in 2H
100%

Corners

3.80N=10
For
3.80N=10
4.10
Against
6.00
7.90
Total
9.80
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateBoth teams scored

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.10
Goals scored
1.00
1.60
Goals conceded
2.00
2.70
Total goals
3.00
80%8/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
70%7/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Espanol attack

1.10goals per match
Alaves conceded2.00
Matchup

Alaves attack

1.00goals per match
Espanol conceded1.60
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.10
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.70
90%9/10
Over 0.5 1H
40%4/10
50%5/10
Leading at HT
0%0/10
0.40
2H goals scored
0.90
1.10
2H goals conceded
1.30
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
100%10/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
90%9/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
3.80N=10
Corners for
3.80N=10
4.10
Corners against
6.00
7.90
Match total
9.80
40%4/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
30%3/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
30%3/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.60N=10
For
2.70N=10
4.60
Match total
4.50
70%7/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

18.50N=10
Committed
15.00N=10
32.50
Match total
27.70

Shots

11.90N=10
Shots
8.60N=10
3.60
On target
3.20
9%
Conversion
12%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches58
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home45.4%37.9%-7.4 pp
Draw29.8%31.0%+1.3 pp
Away24.9%31.0%+6.2 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.560.3%
Over 2.539.7%
Over 3.515.5%
BTTS43.1%

Historical average

1.170.88

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

0-113.8%
0-013.8%
1-012.1%
1-112.1%
1-210.3%

Comparable corner averages

5.844.28
Average total10.12

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=58.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.565.5%
Over 9.550.0%
Over 10.539.7%
Over 11.532.8%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches23
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT26.1%12.5%–46.5% CI
Draw FT39.1%22.2%–59.2% CI
Away FT34.8%18.8%–55.1% CI

Remaining goals

1.04

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal65.2%
2+ goals26.1%
3+ goals13.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home39.1%
Away43.5%