La Liga · 2019/20
2020-06-11 · 21:00
11.8551.9%
X3.6826.1%
24.3522.1%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Sevilla
WWDWLDWDDW
5W 4D 1L · 1.90 PPM
Betis
LLDWDDLDDL
1W 5D 4L · 0.80 PPM

Goals

1.50
Scored
0.80
0.90
Conceded
1.20
30%
Over 2.5
40%
60%
BTTS
60%

By half

0.90
1H goals
1.10
1.50
2H goals
0.90
90%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

7.50N=10
For
4.40N=10
2.10
Against
6.00
9.60
Total
10.40
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateBoth teams scored

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.50
Goals scored
0.80
0.90
Goals conceded
1.20
2.40
Total goals
2.00
80%8/10
Over 1.5
60%6/10
30%3/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
60%6/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Sevilla attack

1.50goals per match
Betis conceded1.20
Matchup

Betis attack

0.80goals per match
Sevilla conceded0.90
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.50
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.60
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
50%5/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
0.90
2H goals scored
0.30
0.60
2H goals conceded
0.60
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
7.50N=10
Corners for
4.40N=10
2.10
Corners against
6.00
9.60
Match total
10.40
70%7/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
90%9/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.60N=10
For
3.00N=10
4.90
Match total
6.40
80%8/10
Over 3.5
100%10/10

Fouls

13.20N=10
Committed
13.70N=10
26.80
Match total
30.60

Shots

15.00N=10
Shots
11.10N=10
5.00
On target
3.30
10%
Conversion
7%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches41
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home51.9%56.1%+4.2 pp
Draw26.1%29.3%+3.2 pp
Away22.1%14.6%-7.4 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.573.2%
Over 2.551.2%
Over 3.517.1%
BTTS58.5%

Historical average

1.590.83

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-114.6%
1-014.6%
2-114.6%
1-212.2%
0-012.2%

Comparable corner averages

6.343.56
Average total9.90

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=41.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.561.0%
Over 9.556.1%
Over 10.539.0%
Over 11.529.3%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches15
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT40.0%19.8%–64.3% CI
Draw FT53.3%30.1%–75.2% CI
Away FT6.7%1.2%–29.8% CI

Remaining goals

1.13

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal66.7%
2+ goals33.3%
3+ goals13.3%

Who scores in 2H

Home66.7%
Away26.7%