La Liga · 2019/20
2020-03-08 · 17:30
11.7454.9%
X3.7025.8%
24.9719.2%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Villarreal
WWWDLDWLWW
6W 2D 2L · 2.00 PPM
Leganes
LLLDLDDDLL
0W 4D 6L · 0.40 PPM

Goals

1.90
Scored
0.40
0.90
Conceded
1.60
60%
Over 2.5
20%
60%
BTTS
30%

By half

0.50
1H goals
1.00
2.30
2H goals
1.00
80%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

5.40N=10
For
3.40N=10
6.20
Against
4.70
11.60
Total
8.10
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.90
Goals scored
0.40
0.90
Goals conceded
1.60
2.80
Total goals
2.00
70%7/10
Over 1.5
60%6/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
20%2/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
60%6/10
BTTS
30%3/10
Matchup

Villarreal attack

1.90goals per match
Leganes conceded1.60
Matchup

Leganes attack

0.40goals per match
Villarreal conceded0.90
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
0.30
0.10
1H goals conceded
0.70
50%5/10
Over 0.5 1H
50%5/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
1.50
2H goals scored
0.10
0.80
2H goals conceded
0.90
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
80%8/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.40N=10
Corners for
3.40N=10
6.20
Corners against
4.70
11.60
Match total
8.10
80%8/10
Over 8.5
50%5/10
70%7/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
20%2/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.20N=10
For
3.90N=10
4.10
Match total
6.10
70%7/10
Over 3.5
100%10/10

Fouls

12.70N=10
Committed
15.40N=10
25.00
Match total
30.30

Shots

15.80N=10
Shots
8.90N=10
5.40
On target
3.40
12%
Conversion
4%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches78
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home54.9%62.8%+7.9 pp
Draw25.8%26.9%+1.1 pp
Away19.2%10.3%-9.0 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.570.5%
Over 2.547.4%
Over 3.521.8%
BTTS55.1%

Historical average

1.690.76

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-016.7%
2-115.4%
1-114.1%
0-09.0%
2-09.0%

Comparable corner averages

6.173.78
Average total9.95

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=78.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.560.3%
Over 9.550.0%
Over 10.542.3%
Over 11.533.3%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches30
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT53.3%36.1%–69.8% CI
Draw FT43.3%27.4%–60.8% CI
Away FT3.3%0.6%–16.7% CI

Remaining goals

1.37

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal76.7%
2+ goals43.3%
3+ goals10.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home73.3%
Away26.7%