La Liga · 2019/20
2020-03-08 · 13:00
12.9832.0%
X2.8233.8%
22.7934.2%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Valladolid
DWWLDDDLDW
3W 5D 2L · 1.40 PPM
Ath Bilbao
LLDWLDDDLL
1W 4D 5L · 0.70 PPM

Goals

1.10
Scored
0.80
0.70
Conceded
1.30
30%
Over 2.5
40%
40%
BTTS
60%

By half

0.80
1H goals
1.00
1.00
2H goals
1.10
60%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

3.60N=10
For
4.70N=10
3.90
Against
5.30
7.50
Total
10.00
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

6/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.10
Goals scored
0.80
0.70
Goals conceded
1.30
1.80
Total goals
2.10
60%6/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
30%3/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
10%1/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
40%4/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Valladolid attack

1.10goals per match
Ath Bilbao conceded1.30
Matchup

Ath Bilbao attack

0.80goals per match
Valladolid conceded0.70
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.50
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.50
50%5/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
0.60
2H goals scored
0.30
0.40
2H goals conceded
0.80
60%6/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
3.60N=10
Corners for
4.70N=10
3.90
Corners against
5.30
7.50
Match total
10.00
20%2/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
10%1/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
20%2/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.30N=10
For
2.50N=10
5.70
Match total
4.70
80%8/10
Over 3.5
80%8/10

Fouls

12.30N=10
Committed
14.50N=10
29.00
Match total
26.60

Shots

9.70N=10
Shots
8.50N=10
3.20
On target
2.60
11%
Conversion
9%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches14
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home32.0%21.4%-10.6 pp
Draw33.8%50.0%+16.2 pp
Away34.2%28.6%-5.6 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.564.3%
Over 2.528.6%
Over 3.514.3%
BTTS35.7%

Historical average

0.930.93

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

0-021.4%
1-121.4%
0-114.3%
2-17.1%
0-37.1%

Comparable corner averages

4.215.00
Average total9.21

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=14.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.557.1%
Over 9.550.0%
Over 10.542.9%
Over 11.528.6%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches11
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT9.1%1.6%–37.7% CI
Draw FT54.5%28.0%–78.7% CI
Away FT36.4%15.2%–64.6% CI

Remaining goals

1.18

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal63.6%
2+ goals45.5%
3+ goals9.1%

Who scores in 2H

Home36.4%
Away54.5%