La Liga · 2019/20
2020-03-07 · 20:00
11.8551.6%
X3.2729.2%
24.9919.1%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Getafe
LWWDWWLWWL
6W 1D 3L · 1.90 PPM
Celta
LLLWLLDLDD
1W 3D 6L · 0.60 PPM

Goals

1.50
Scored
1.10
0.90
Conceded
1.90
50%
Over 2.5
60%
10%
BTTS
70%

By half

0.60
1H goals
0.80
1.80
2H goals
2.20
90%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

5.70N=10
For
4.30N=10
3.30
Against
6.20
9.00
Total
10.50
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.50
Goals scored
1.10
0.90
Goals conceded
1.90
2.40
Total goals
3.00
80%8/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10
10%1/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

Getafe attack

1.50goals per match
Celta conceded1.90
Matchup

Celta attack

1.10goals per match
Getafe conceded0.90
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.30
1H goals scored
0.30
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.50
50%5/10
Over 0.5 1H
50%5/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
1.20
2H goals scored
0.80
0.60
2H goals conceded
1.40
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
80%8/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.70N=10
Corners for
4.30N=10
3.30
Corners against
6.20
9.00
Match total
10.50
50%5/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
70%7/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

3.30N=10
For
2.70N=10
6.90
Match total
6.60
100%10/10
Over 3.5
100%10/10

Fouls

19.20N=10
Committed
12.40N=10
32.80
Match total
26.80

Shots

10.90N=10
Shots
9.90N=10
4.20
On target
4.00
14%
Conversion
11%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches23
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home51.6%69.6%+17.9 pp
Draw29.2%13.0%-16.2 pp
Away19.1%17.4%-1.8 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.560.9%
Over 2.543.5%
Over 3.526.1%
BTTS43.5%

Historical average

1.740.83

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-034.8%
2-013.0%
1-213.0%
2-28.7%
1-14.3%

Comparable corner averages

4.913.91
Average total8.83

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=23.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.560.9%
Over 9.539.1%
Over 10.526.1%
Over 11.58.7%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches10
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT50.0%23.7%–76.3% CI
Draw FT20.0%5.7%–51.0% CI
Away FT30.0%10.8%–60.3% CI

Remaining goals

1.00

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal80.0%
2+ goals10.0%
3+ goals10.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home60.0%
Away30.0%