La Liga · 2019/20
2020-03-07 · 17:30
11.3670.2%
X5.3817.7%
27.9112.1%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Barcelona
WWWWDWWWWW
9W 1D 0L · 2.80 PPM
Sociedad
LWLWWLDWLL
4W 1D 5L · 1.30 PPM

Goals

3.20
Scored
1.40
0.70
Conceded
1.80
80%
Over 2.5
70%
60%
BTTS
60%

By half

2.40
1H goals
1.70
1.50
2H goals
1.50
90%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

5.00N=10
For
3.20N=10
4.00
Against
4.40
9.00
Total
7.60
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongOver 2.5 goals

8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

moderateBoth teams scored

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
3.20
Goals scored
1.40
0.70
Goals conceded
1.80
3.90
Total goals
3.20
80%8/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
80%8/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
60%6/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
60%6/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Barcelona attack

3.20goals per match
Sociedad conceded1.80
Matchup

Sociedad attack

1.40goals per match
Barcelona conceded0.70
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
2.10
1H goals scored
0.90
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.80
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
80%8/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
1.10
2H goals scored
0.50
0.40
2H goals conceded
1.00
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
20%2/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.00N=10
Corners for
3.20N=10
4.00
Corners against
4.40
9.00
Match total
7.60
50%5/10
Over 8.5
40%4/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
30%3/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.20N=10
For
1.90N=10
4.60
Match total
4.20
60%6/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

10.40N=10
Committed
14.40N=10
25.80
Match total
27.80

Shots

15.10N=10
Shots
8.40N=10
7.80
On target
3.40
21%
Conversion
17%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches11
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home70.2%100.0%+29.8 pp
Draw17.7%0.0%-17.7 pp
Away12.1%0.0%-12.1 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.581.8%
Over 2.545.5%
Over 3.545.5%
BTTS36.4%

Historical average

2.820.45

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-036.4%
1-018.2%
3-118.2%
4-19.1%
3-29.1%

Comparable corner averages

6.273.64
Average total9.91

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=11.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.572.7%
Over 9.554.5%
Over 10.527.3%
Over 11.527.3%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches14
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT64.3%38.8%–83.7% CI
Draw FT21.4%7.6%–47.6% CI
Away FT14.3%4.0%–39.9% CI

Remaining goals

1.79

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal85.7%
2+ goals64.3%
3+ goals21.4%

Who scores in 2H

Home71.4%
Away21.4%