La Liga · 2019/20
2020-03-07 · 15:00
11.9449.2%
X3.2529.4%
24.4521.4%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Ath Madrid
DDWWLWWDWW
6W 3D 1L · 2.10 PPM
Sevilla
LLDWWDWLLW
4W 2D 4L · 1.40 PPM

Goals

1.40
Scored
1.40
0.50
Conceded
1.40
30%
Over 2.5
60%
40%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.00
1H goals
1.40
0.90
2H goals
1.40
60%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

5.80N=10
For
4.30N=10
4.50
Against
4.30
10.30
Total
8.60
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

6/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.40
Goals scored
1.40
0.50
Goals conceded
1.40
1.90
Total goals
2.80
60%6/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
30%3/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
40%4/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Ath Madrid attack

1.40goals per match
Sevilla conceded1.40
Matchup

Sevilla attack

1.40goals per match
Ath Madrid conceded0.50
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.90
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.50
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
90%9/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
60%6/10
0.70
2H goals scored
0.50
0.20
2H goals conceded
0.90
60%6/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
20%2/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.80N=10
Corners for
4.30N=10
4.50
Corners against
4.30
10.30
Match total
8.60
70%7/10
Over 8.5
30%3/10
70%7/10
Over 9.5
20%2/10
80%8/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.10N=10
For
3.00N=10
5.00
Match total
7.20
60%6/10
Over 3.5
100%10/10

Fouls

13.50N=10
Committed
15.90N=10
26.00
Match total
30.10

Shots

13.80N=10
Shots
10.10N=10
4.60
On target
3.90
10%
Conversion
14%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches58
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home49.2%48.3%-0.9 pp
Draw29.4%36.2%+6.8 pp
Away21.4%15.5%-5.9 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.569.0%
Over 2.543.1%
Over 3.531.0%
BTTS53.4%

Historical average

1.531.07

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-013.8%
1-112.1%
2-010.3%
0-010.3%
0-16.9%

Comparable corner averages

5.293.88
Average total9.17

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=58.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.553.4%
Over 9.537.9%
Over 10.531.0%
Over 11.522.4%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches21
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT38.1%20.8%–59.1% CI
Draw FT42.9%24.5%–63.5% CI
Away FT19.0%7.7%–40.0% CI

Remaining goals

1.48

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal71.4%
2+ goals47.6%
3+ goals19.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home57.1%
Away47.6%