La Liga · 2019/20
2020-03-06 · 20:00
12.6436.2%
X3.2329.6%
22.8034.2%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Alaves
WWDWLDDLWW
5W 3D 2L · 1.80 PPM
Valencia
WDLWLWDLLL
3W 2D 5L · 1.10 PPM

Goals

1.60
Scored
1.20
0.90
Conceded
2.00
50%
Over 2.5
70%
70%
BTTS
70%

By half

0.70
1H goals
1.50
1.80
2H goals
1.70
100%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

4.40N=10
For
3.90N=10
4.30
Against
5.20
8.70
Total
9.10
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongBoth teams scored

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

10/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.60
Goals scored
1.20
0.90
Goals conceded
2.00
2.50
Total goals
3.20
100%10/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
0%0/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
70%7/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

Alaves attack

1.60goals per match
Valencia conceded2.00
Matchup

Valencia attack

1.20goals per match
Alaves conceded0.90
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
0.40
0.30
1H goals conceded
1.10
50%5/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
1.20
2H goals scored
0.80
0.60
2H goals conceded
0.90
100%10/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.40N=10
Corners for
3.90N=10
4.30
Corners against
5.20
8.70
Match total
9.10
60%6/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
30%3/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

3.50N=10
For
2.40N=10
6.10
Match total
4.50
90%9/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10

Fouls

17.30N=10
Committed
10.90N=10
30.10
Match total
25.10

Shots

9.70N=10
Shots
7.70N=10
4.00
On target
2.70
16%
Conversion
16%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches135
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home36.2%24.4%-11.8 pp
Draw29.6%41.5%+11.9 pp
Away34.2%34.1%-0.1 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.571.9%
Over 2.545.2%
Over 3.529.6%
BTTS55.6%

Historical average

1.161.33

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-114.8%
2-212.6%
0-112.6%
0-012.6%
2-17.4%

Comparable corner averages

5.194.49
Average total9.67

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=135.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.565.2%
Over 9.550.4%
Over 10.534.1%
Over 11.525.2%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches45
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT15.6%7.7%–28.8% CI
Draw FT53.3%39.1%–67.1% CI
Away FT31.1%19.5%–45.7% CI

Remaining goals

1.11

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal62.2%
2+ goals33.3%
3+ goals11.1%

Who scores in 2H

Home35.6%
Away51.1%