La Liga · 2019/20
2020-03-01 · 20:00
12.1943.5%
X3.6626.0%
23.1330.4%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Real Madrid
WWWDWWDWWD
7W 3D 0L · 2.40 PPM
Barcelona
LWWLWWDDLW
5W 2D 3L · 1.70 PPM

Goals

2.10
Scored
1.60
0.60
Conceded
1.40
50%
Over 2.5
60%
40%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.00
1H goals
1.20
1.70
2H goals
1.80
80%
Goal in 2H
100%

Corners

6.10N=10
For
4.00N=10
3.70
Against
3.50
9.80
Total
7.50
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.10
Goals scored
1.60
0.60
Goals conceded
1.40
2.70
Total goals
3.00
70%7/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
40%4/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Real Madrid attack

2.10goals per match
Barcelona conceded1.40
Matchup

Barcelona attack

1.60goals per match
Real Madrid conceded0.60
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.80
1H goals scored
0.60
0.20
1H goals conceded
0.60
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
1.30
2H goals scored
1.00
0.40
2H goals conceded
0.80
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
100%10/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.10N=10
Corners for
4.00N=10
3.70
Corners against
3.50
9.80
Match total
7.50
60%6/10
Over 8.5
40%4/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
20%2/10
80%8/10
Team over 4.5
60%6/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.20N=10
For
2.90N=10
4.80
Match total
5.50
80%8/10
Over 3.5
80%8/10

Fouls

12.90N=10
Committed
12.90N=10
26.50
Match total
28.00

Shots

17.60N=10
Shots
10.70N=10
7.10
On target
5.10
12%
Conversion
15%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches39
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home43.5%46.2%+2.6 pp
Draw26.0%25.6%-0.4 pp
Away30.4%28.2%-2.2 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.576.9%
Over 2.559.0%
Over 3.538.5%
BTTS53.8%

Historical average

1.621.26

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-012.8%
2-210.3%
2-17.7%
1-17.7%
0-07.7%

Comparable corner averages

5.954.49
Average total10.44

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=39.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.571.8%
Over 9.556.4%
Over 10.551.3%
Over 11.546.2%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches11
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT45.5%21.3%–72.0% CI
Draw FT36.4%15.2%–64.6% CI
Away FT18.2%5.1%–47.7% CI

Remaining goals

1.73

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal72.7%
2+ goals45.5%
3+ goals36.4%

Who scores in 2H

Home63.6%
Away27.3%