La Liga · 2019/20
2020-03-01 · 15:00
14.2822.3%
X3.0631.2%
22.0546.5%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Espanol
LLLLDLDDDW
1W 4D 5L · 0.70 PPM
Ath Madrid
WDDDDDWLLD
2W 6D 2L · 1.20 PPM

Goals

1.10
Scored
0.90
1.80
Conceded
0.90
50%
Over 2.5
20%
70%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.30
1H goals
0.60
1.60
2H goals
1.20
80%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

4.00N=10
For
4.70N=10
4.40
Against
6.10
8.40
Total
10.80
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.10
Goals scored
0.90
1.80
Goals conceded
0.90
2.90
Total goals
1.80
80%8/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
20%2/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
70%7/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Espanol attack

1.10goals per match
Ath Madrid conceded0.90
Matchup

Ath Madrid attack

0.90goals per match
Espanol conceded1.80
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.30
0.70
1H goals conceded
0.30
90%9/10
Over 0.5 1H
40%4/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.50
2H goals scored
0.60
1.10
2H goals conceded
0.60
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.00N=10
Corners for
4.70N=10
4.40
Corners against
6.10
8.40
Match total
10.80
50%5/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
40%4/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.40N=10
For
3.00N=10
4.00
Match total
6.20
60%6/10
Over 3.5
80%8/10

Fouls

17.20N=10
Committed
14.40N=10
30.60
Match total
28.60

Shots

12.70N=10
Shots
11.20N=10
3.60
On target
3.40
9%
Conversion
8%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches13
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home22.3%15.4%-6.9 pp
Draw31.2%61.5%+30.4 pp
Away46.5%23.1%-23.5 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.576.9%
Over 2.538.5%
Over 3.530.8%
BTTS53.8%

Historical average

1.081.23

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-223.1%
1-123.1%
2-015.4%
0-015.4%
0-17.7%

Comparable corner averages

4.465.08
Average total9.54

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=13.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.561.5%
Over 9.561.5%
Over 10.530.8%
Over 11.523.1%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches13
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT23.1%8.2%–50.3% CI
Draw FT53.8%29.1%–76.8% CI
Away FT23.1%8.2%–50.3% CI

Remaining goals

0.92

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal61.5%
2+ goals30.8%
3+ goals0.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home38.5%
Away38.5%