La Liga · 2019/20
2020-03-01 · 13:00
12.3141.2%
X3.2928.9%
23.1829.9%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Ath Bilbao
WLDWWWDDLL
4W 3D 3L · 1.50 PPM
Villarreal
LWLLLWWWDL
4W 1D 5L · 1.30 PPM

Goals

1.10
Scored
1.30
0.70
Conceded
1.60
20%
Over 2.5
80%
30%
BTTS
90%

By half

0.90
1H goals
1.00
0.90
2H goals
1.90
70%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

5.70N=10
For
3.70N=10
3.40
Against
6.70
9.10
Total
10.40
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.10
Goals scored
1.30
0.70
Goals conceded
1.60
1.80
Total goals
2.90
70%7/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
20%2/10
Over 2.5
80%8/10
0%0/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
30%3/10
BTTS
90%9/10
Matchup

Ath Bilbao attack

1.10goals per match
Villarreal conceded1.60
Matchup

Villarreal attack

1.30goals per match
Ath Bilbao conceded0.70
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.50
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.50
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
0.60
2H goals scored
0.80
0.30
2H goals conceded
1.10
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
20%2/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.70N=10
Corners for
3.70N=10
3.40
Corners against
6.70
9.10
Match total
10.40
50%5/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
20%2/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.60N=10
For
2.10N=10
6.00
Match total
4.10
90%9/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10

Fouls

13.10N=10
Committed
14.00N=10
28.30
Match total
26.30

Shots

14.00N=10
Shots
13.40N=10
4.80
On target
4.30
8%
Conversion
10%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches97
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home41.2%41.2%+0.1 pp
Draw28.9%37.1%+8.2 pp
Away29.9%21.6%-8.3 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.567.0%
Over 2.539.2%
Over 3.528.9%
BTTS55.7%

Historical average

1.391.05

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-118.6%
0-011.3%
1-011.3%
0-110.3%
2-07.2%

Comparable corner averages

5.234.66
Average total9.89

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=97.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.558.8%
Over 9.554.6%
Over 10.542.3%
Over 11.529.9%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches35
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT28.6%16.3%–45.1% CI
Draw FT45.7%30.5%–61.8% CI
Away FT25.7%14.2%–42.1% CI

Remaining goals

1.09

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal68.6%
2+ goals31.4%
3+ goals5.7%

Who scores in 2H

Home45.7%
Away42.9%