La Liga · 2019/20
2020-02-29 · 17:30
12.0446.6%
X3.0631.1%
24.2722.3%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Leganes
DLWLLWWLWD
4W 2D 4L · 1.40 PPM
Alaves
LLLLWLLWDL
2W 1D 7L · 0.70 PPM

Goals

1.20
Scored
0.90
1.30
Conceded
2.20
60%
Over 2.5
60%
60%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.20
1H goals
1.10
1.30
2H goals
2.00
70%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

3.60N=10
For
3.70N=10
3.90
Against
5.90
7.50
Total
9.60
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.20
Goals scored
0.90
1.30
Goals conceded
2.20
2.50
Total goals
3.10
80%8/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
10%1/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
60%6/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Leganes attack

1.20goals per match
Alaves conceded2.20
Matchup

Alaves attack

0.90goals per match
Leganes conceded1.30
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.10
0.60
1H goals conceded
1.00
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
50%5/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
0%0/10
0.60
2H goals scored
0.80
0.70
2H goals conceded
1.20
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
80%8/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
3.60N=10
Corners for
3.70N=10
3.90
Corners against
5.90
7.50
Match total
9.60
30%3/10
Over 8.5
50%5/10
10%1/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
10%1/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

3.20N=10
For
2.80N=10
6.20
Match total
4.40
80%8/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

15.30N=10
Committed
15.20N=10
29.80
Match total
26.80

Shots

11.90N=10
Shots
8.30N=10
4.60
On target
2.80
10%
Conversion
11%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches21
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home46.6%38.1%-8.5 pp
Draw31.1%33.3%+2.2 pp
Away22.3%28.6%+6.3 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.557.1%
Over 2.538.1%
Over 3.59.5%
BTTS38.1%

Historical average

1.240.71

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

0-119.0%
1-119.0%
3-014.3%
0-014.3%
1-09.5%

Comparable corner averages

6.674.14
Average total10.81

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=21.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.566.7%
Over 9.566.7%
Over 10.552.4%
Over 11.547.6%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches23
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT26.1%12.5%–46.5% CI
Draw FT47.8%29.2%–67.0% CI
Away FT26.1%12.5%–46.5% CI

Remaining goals

1.26

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal73.9%
2+ goals34.8%
3+ goals13.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home47.8%
Away47.8%