La Liga · 2019/20
2020-02-29 · 15:00
12.2143.1%
X3.4028.0%
23.3028.9%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Valencia
DWDWWDWWWD
6W 4D 0L · 2.20 PPM
Betis
LLLDWDDLDD
1W 5D 4L · 0.80 PPM

Goals

1.70
Scored
0.80
0.90
Conceded
1.50
40%
Over 2.5
40%
60%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.00
1H goals
1.20
1.60
2H goals
1.10
90%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

5.10N=10
For
4.40N=10
3.90
Against
5.70
9.00
Total
10.10
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateBoth teams scored

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.70
Goals scored
0.80
0.90
Goals conceded
1.50
2.60
Total goals
2.30
80%8/10
Over 1.5
60%6/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
60%6/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Valencia attack

1.70goals per match
Betis conceded1.50
Matchup

Betis attack

0.80goals per match
Valencia conceded0.90
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.50
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.70
50%5/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
1.10
2H goals scored
0.30
0.50
2H goals conceded
0.80
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.10N=10
Corners for
4.40N=10
3.90
Corners against
5.70
9.00
Match total
10.10
70%7/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.10N=10
For
2.90N=10
5.20
Match total
6.30
80%8/10
Over 3.5
100%10/10

Fouls

11.50N=10
Committed
13.60N=10
29.30
Match total
30.50

Shots

9.80N=10
Shots
10.80N=10
4.20
On target
3.40
17%
Conversion
7%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches70
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home43.1%48.6%+5.5 pp
Draw28.0%28.6%+0.6 pp
Away28.9%22.9%-6.0 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.572.9%
Over 2.541.4%
Over 3.524.3%
BTTS48.6%

Historical average

1.391.09

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-018.6%
1-114.3%
2-011.4%
2-110.0%
0-07.1%

Comparable corner averages

5.664.80
Average total10.46

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=70.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.570.0%
Over 9.555.7%
Over 10.548.6%
Over 11.540.0%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches21
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT52.4%32.4%–71.7% CI
Draw FT38.1%20.8%–59.1% CI
Away FT9.5%2.7%–28.9% CI

Remaining goals

1.33

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal76.2%
2+ goals42.9%
3+ goals9.5%

Who scores in 2H

Home66.7%
Away28.6%