La Liga · 2019/20
2020-02-29 · 15:00
12.2143.1%
X3.4028.0%
23.3028.9%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Valencia
DWDWWDWWWD
6W 4D 0L · 2.20 PPM
Betis
LLLDWDDLDD
1W 5D 4L · 0.80 PPM
Goals
1.70
Scored
0.80
0.90
Conceded
1.50
40%
Over 2.5
40%
60%
BTTS
60%
By half
1.00
1H goals
1.20
1.60
2H goals
1.10
90%
Goal in 2H
70%
Corners
5.10N=10
For
4.40N=10
3.90
Against
5.70
9.00
Total
10.10
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateBoth teams scored
6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
strongAt least one second-half goal
9/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
strongOver 8.5 corners
7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.70
Goals scored
0.80
0.90
Goals conceded
1.50
2.60
Total goals
2.30
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Valencia attack
1.70goals per matchBetis conceded1.50Matchup
Betis attack
0.80goals per matchValencia conceded0.90Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.50
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.70
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
1.10
2H goals scored
0.30
0.50
2H goals conceded
0.80
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
5.10N=10
Corners for
4.40N=10
3.90
Corners against
5.70
9.00
Match total
10.10
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.10N=10
For
2.90N=10
5.20
Match total
6.30
Over 3.5
Fouls
11.50N=10
Committed
13.60N=10
29.30
Match total
30.50
Shots
9.80N=10
Shots
10.80N=10
4.20
On target
3.40
17%
Conversion
7%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches70
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home43.1%48.6%+5.5 pp
Draw28.0%28.6%+0.6 pp
Away28.9%22.9%-6.0 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.572.9%
Over 2.541.4%
Over 3.524.3%
BTTS48.6%
Historical average
1.39–1.09
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-018.6%
1-114.3%
2-011.4%
2-110.0%
0-07.1%
Comparable corner averages
5.66–4.80
Average total10.46
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=70.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.570.0%
Over 9.555.7%
Over 10.548.6%
Over 11.540.0%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches21
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT52.4%32.4%–71.7% CI
Draw FT38.1%20.8%–59.1% CI
Away FT9.5%2.7%–28.9% CI
Remaining goals
1.33
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal76.2%
2+ goals42.9%
3+ goals9.5%
Who scores in 2H
Home66.7%
Away28.6%