La Liga · 2019/20
2020-02-28 · 20:00
11.5462.0%
X4.0423.6%
26.6314.4%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Sociedad
LWLDWDLWWW
5W 2D 3L · 1.70 PPM
Valladolid
LWDLLDLDWL
2W 3D 5L · 0.90 PPM

Goals

2.10
Scored
0.60
1.20
Conceded
1.50
90%
Over 2.5
30%
80%
BTTS
30%

By half

1.30
1H goals
0.90
2.00
2H goals
1.20
100%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

6.60N=10
For
4.20N=10
4.10
Against
6.50
10.70
Total
10.70
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

10/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.10
Goals scored
0.60
1.20
Goals conceded
1.50
3.30
Total goals
2.10
100%10/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
90%9/10
Over 2.5
30%3/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
80%8/10
BTTS
30%3/10
Matchup

Sociedad attack

2.10goals per match
Valladolid conceded1.50
Matchup

Valladolid attack

0.60goals per match
Sociedad conceded1.20
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.80
1H goals scored
0.20
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.70
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
50%5/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
1.30
2H goals scored
0.40
0.70
2H goals conceded
0.80
100%10/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.60N=10
Corners for
4.20N=10
4.10
Corners against
6.50
10.70
Match total
10.70
80%8/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
70%7/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
80%8/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.00N=10
For
2.10N=10
5.00
Match total
4.30
70%7/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

14.40N=10
Committed
12.00N=10
27.10
Match total
27.50

Shots

14.30N=10
Shots
8.60N=10
4.60
On target
3.30
15%
Conversion
7%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches41
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home62.0%65.9%+3.9 pp
Draw23.6%14.6%-9.0 pp
Away14.4%19.5%+5.1 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.570.7%
Over 2.556.1%
Over 3.531.7%
BTTS46.3%

Historical average

1.880.83

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-012.2%
2-112.2%
3-09.8%
0-19.8%
2-07.3%

Comparable corner averages

6.593.61
Average total10.20

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=41.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.565.9%
Over 9.551.2%
Over 10.546.3%
Over 11.539.0%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches11
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT36.4%15.2%–64.6% CI
Draw FT27.3%9.7%–56.6% CI
Away FT36.4%15.2%–64.6% CI

Remaining goals

0.91

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal72.7%
2+ goals9.1%
3+ goals9.1%

Who scores in 2H

Home36.4%
Away36.4%