La Liga · 2019/20
2020-02-23 · 20:00
11.6657.4%
X3.7225.6%
25.6316.9%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Ath Madrid
DDDWWLWWDW
5W 4D 1L · 1.90 PPM
Villarreal
LLWLLLWWWD
4W 1D 5L · 1.30 PPM

Goals

1.10
Scored
1.30
0.40
Conceded
1.50
20%
Over 2.5
80%
30%
BTTS
90%

By half

0.80
1H goals
1.10
0.70
2H goals
1.70
50%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

6.50N=10
For
4.10N=10
4.70
Against
6.70
11.20
Total
10.80
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongOver 8.5 corners

8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.10
Goals scored
1.30
0.40
Goals conceded
1.50
1.50
Total goals
2.80
50%5/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
20%2/10
Over 2.5
80%8/10
10%1/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
30%3/10
BTTS
90%9/10
Matchup

Ath Madrid attack

1.10goals per match
Villarreal conceded1.50
Matchup

Villarreal attack

1.30goals per match
Ath Madrid conceded0.40
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.50
0.20
1H goals conceded
0.60
50%5/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
0.50
2H goals scored
0.80
0.20
2H goals conceded
0.90
50%5/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
20%2/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.50N=10
Corners for
4.10N=10
4.70
Corners against
6.70
11.20
Match total
10.80
80%8/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
80%8/10
Over 9.5
70%7/10
80%8/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.30N=10
For
2.10N=10
5.50
Match total
4.40
70%7/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10

Fouls

13.50N=10
Committed
14.70N=10
26.60
Match total
26.00

Shots

14.20N=10
Shots
13.50N=10
4.20
On target
4.20
8%
Conversion
10%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches38
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home57.4%42.1%-15.3 pp
Draw25.6%28.9%+3.3 pp
Away16.9%28.9%+12.0 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.578.9%
Over 2.542.1%
Over 3.523.7%
BTTS55.3%

Historical average

1.421.13

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-121.1%
0-110.5%
2-010.5%
1-07.9%
2-17.9%

Comparable corner averages

5.714.11
Average total9.82

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=38.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.550.0%
Over 9.547.4%
Over 10.539.5%
Over 11.528.9%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches16
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT43.8%23.1%–66.8% CI
Draw FT31.3%14.2%–55.6% CI
Away FT25.0%10.2%–49.5% CI

Remaining goals

1.81

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal93.8%
2+ goals62.5%
3+ goals18.8%

Who scores in 2H

Home75.0%
Away56.3%