La Liga · 2019/20
2020-02-23 · 13:00
12.9532.2%
X2.9032.8%
22.7235.0%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Alaves
LWWDWLDDLW
4W 3D 3L · 1.50 PPM
Ath Bilbao
DLLDWLDDDL
1W 5D 4L · 0.80 PPM
Goals
1.40
Scored
0.80
0.90
Conceded
1.20
40%
Over 2.5
30%
60%
BTTS
60%
By half
0.60
1H goals
0.80
1.70
2H goals
1.20
90%
Goal in 2H
80%
Corners
4.40N=10
For
4.30N=10
4.00
Against
5.50
8.40
Total
9.80
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateBoth teams scored
6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
very strongAt least one second-half goal
9/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.40
Goals scored
0.80
0.90
Goals conceded
1.20
2.30
Total goals
2.00
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Alaves attack
1.40goals per matchAth Bilbao conceded1.20Matchup
Ath Bilbao attack
0.80goals per matchAlaves conceded0.90Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.30
1H goals scored
0.40
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.40
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
1.10
2H goals scored
0.40
0.60
2H goals conceded
0.80
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
4.40N=10
Corners for
4.30N=10
4.00
Corners against
5.50
8.40
Match total
9.80
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
3.60N=10
For
2.20N=10
6.30
Match total
4.00
Over 3.5
Fouls
16.90N=10
Committed
14.50N=10
29.20
Match total
26.00
Shots
10.00N=10
Shots
8.10N=10
3.60
On target
2.30
14%
Conversion
10%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches20
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home32.2%15.0%-17.2 pp
Draw32.8%50.0%+17.2 pp
Away35.0%35.0%+0.0 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.575.0%
Over 2.540.0%
Over 3.525.0%
BTTS45.0%
Historical average
1.00–1.25
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-120.0%
2-215.0%
0-015.0%
0-210.0%
0-110.0%
Comparable corner averages
4.15–4.20
Average total8.35
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=20.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.550.0%
Over 9.535.0%
Over 10.525.0%
Over 11.520.0%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches11
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT18.2%5.1%–47.7% CI
Draw FT45.5%21.3%–72.0% CI
Away FT36.4%15.2%–64.6% CI
Remaining goals
1.18
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal72.7%
2+ goals45.5%
3+ goals0.0%
Who scores in 2H
Home36.4%
Away54.5%