La Liga · 2019/20
2020-02-23 · 13:00
12.9532.2%
X2.9032.8%
22.7235.0%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Alaves
LWWDWLDDLW
4W 3D 3L · 1.50 PPM
Ath Bilbao
DLLDWLDDDL
1W 5D 4L · 0.80 PPM

Goals

1.40
Scored
0.80
0.90
Conceded
1.20
40%
Over 2.5
30%
60%
BTTS
60%

By half

0.60
1H goals
0.80
1.70
2H goals
1.20
90%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

4.40N=10
For
4.30N=10
4.00
Against
5.50
8.40
Total
9.80
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateBoth teams scored

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.40
Goals scored
0.80
0.90
Goals conceded
1.20
2.30
Total goals
2.00
90%9/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
30%3/10
0%0/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
60%6/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Alaves attack

1.40goals per match
Ath Bilbao conceded1.20
Matchup

Ath Bilbao attack

0.80goals per match
Alaves conceded0.90
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.30
1H goals scored
0.40
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.40
50%5/10
Over 0.5 1H
50%5/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
1.10
2H goals scored
0.40
0.60
2H goals conceded
0.80
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.40N=10
Corners for
4.30N=10
4.00
Corners against
5.50
8.40
Match total
9.80
50%5/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
30%3/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

3.60N=10
For
2.20N=10
6.30
Match total
4.00
90%9/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

16.90N=10
Committed
14.50N=10
29.20
Match total
26.00

Shots

10.00N=10
Shots
8.10N=10
3.60
On target
2.30
14%
Conversion
10%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches20
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home32.2%15.0%-17.2 pp
Draw32.8%50.0%+17.2 pp
Away35.0%35.0%+0.0 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.575.0%
Over 2.540.0%
Over 3.525.0%
BTTS45.0%

Historical average

1.001.25

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-120.0%
2-215.0%
0-015.0%
0-210.0%
0-110.0%

Comparable corner averages

4.154.20
Average total8.35

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=20.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.550.0%
Over 9.535.0%
Over 10.525.0%
Over 11.520.0%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches11
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT18.2%5.1%–47.7% CI
Draw FT45.5%21.3%–72.0% CI
Away FT36.4%15.2%–64.6% CI

Remaining goals

1.18

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal72.7%
2+ goals45.5%
3+ goals0.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home36.4%
Away54.5%