La Liga · 2019/20
2020-02-22 · 17:30
11.6956.4%
X4.0323.7%
24.7919.9%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Sociedad
WLWLDWDLWW
5W 2D 3L · 1.70 PPM
Valencia
LWDLWLWDLL
3W 2D 5L · 1.10 PPM

Goals

2.10
Scored
1.40
1.20
Conceded
2.20
90%
Over 2.5
70%
80%
BTTS
80%

By half

1.40
1H goals
1.60
1.90
2H goals
2.00
90%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

6.50N=10
For
3.70N=10
3.70
Against
4.80
10.20
Total
8.50
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongOver 2.5 goals

9/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

very strongBoth teams scored

8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.10
Goals scored
1.40
1.20
Goals conceded
2.20
3.30
Total goals
3.60
100%10/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
90%9/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
80%8/10
BTTS
80%8/10
Matchup

Sociedad attack

2.10goals per match
Valencia conceded2.20
Matchup

Valencia attack

1.40goals per match
Sociedad conceded1.20
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.90
1H goals scored
0.50
0.50
1H goals conceded
1.10
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
1.20
2H goals scored
0.90
0.70
2H goals conceded
1.10
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.50N=10
Corners for
3.70N=10
3.70
Corners against
4.80
10.20
Match total
8.50
70%7/10
Over 8.5
50%5/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
30%3/10
80%8/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.00N=10
For
2.70N=10
5.30
Match total
4.80
80%8/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

13.20N=10
Committed
11.10N=10
27.00
Match total
24.50

Shots

14.50N=10
Shots
8.00N=10
4.60
On target
2.90
14%
Conversion
18%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches45
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home56.4%57.8%+1.3 pp
Draw23.7%20.0%-3.7 pp
Away19.9%22.2%+2.3 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.584.4%
Over 2.564.4%
Over 3.533.3%
BTTS68.9%

Historical average

1.891.07

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-120.0%
1-111.1%
1-28.9%
2-28.9%
2-08.9%

Comparable corner averages

7.273.93
Average total11.20

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=45.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.580.0%
Over 9.564.4%
Over 10.553.3%
Over 11.535.6%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches13
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT69.2%42.4%–87.3% CI
Draw FT30.8%12.7%–57.6% CI
Away FT0.0%0.0%–22.8% CI

Remaining goals

1.85

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal92.3%
2+ goals61.5%
3+ goals23.1%

Who scores in 2H

Home92.3%
Away38.5%