La Liga · 2019/20
2020-02-22 · 12:00
11.8651.4%
X3.3928.2%
24.6720.5%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Celta
LDWLLDDDDW
2W 5D 3L · 1.10 PPM
Leganes
DLLLDLDDDL
0W 5D 5L · 0.50 PPM

Goals

0.70
Scored
0.50
0.90
Conceded
1.60
20%
Over 2.5
20%
40%
BTTS
40%

By half

0.50
1H goals
1.20
1.10
2H goals
0.90
70%
Goal in 2H
60%

Corners

5.10N=10
For
3.10N=10
3.80
Against
5.10
8.90
Total
8.20
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.70
Goals scored
0.50
0.90
Goals conceded
1.60
1.60
Total goals
2.10
50%5/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
20%2/10
Over 2.5
20%2/10
10%1/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
40%4/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Celta attack

0.70goals per match
Leganes conceded1.60
Matchup

Leganes attack

0.50goals per match
Celta conceded0.90
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.10
1H goals scored
0.40
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.80
40%4/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
0%0/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.60
2H goals scored
0.10
0.50
2H goals conceded
0.80
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
60%6/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.10N=10
Corners for
3.10N=10
3.80
Corners against
5.10
8.90
Match total
8.20
50%5/10
Over 8.5
50%5/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
20%2/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.60N=10
For
4.00N=10
5.60
Match total
6.20
90%9/10
Over 3.5
100%10/10

Fouls

11.40N=10
Committed
16.00N=10
27.70
Match total
31.00

Shots

12.80N=10
Shots
9.10N=10
3.90
On target
3.60
5%
Conversion
5%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches28
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home51.4%67.9%+16.5 pp
Draw28.2%14.3%-13.9 pp
Away20.5%17.9%-2.6 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.557.1%
Over 2.539.3%
Over 3.525.0%
BTTS42.9%

Historical average

1.570.75

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-032.1%
2-014.3%
1-210.7%
2-27.1%
0-17.1%

Comparable corner averages

4.933.89
Average total8.82

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=28.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.560.7%
Over 9.528.6%
Over 10.525.0%
Over 11.514.3%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches13
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT46.2%23.2%–70.9% CI
Draw FT23.1%8.2%–50.3% CI
Away FT30.8%12.7%–57.6% CI

Remaining goals

1.31

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal84.6%
2+ goals30.8%
3+ goals15.4%

Who scores in 2H

Home61.5%
Away46.2%