La Liga · 2019/20
2020-02-21 · 20:00
11.4864.6%
X4.5221.1%
26.7014.3%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Betis
DWDWLWWLWL
5W 2D 3L · 1.70 PPM
Mallorca
LLLLLLDLLL
0W 1D 9L · 0.10 PPM

Goals

1.90
Scored
0.70
1.40
Conceded
2.40
80%
Over 2.5
60%
90%
BTTS
40%

By half

1.90
1H goals
1.20
1.40
2H goals
1.90
100%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

4.20N=10
For
4.10N=10
5.10
Against
4.20
9.30
Total
8.30
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

8/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

10/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.90
Goals scored
0.70
1.40
Goals conceded
2.40
3.30
Total goals
3.10
100%10/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
80%8/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
90%9/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Betis attack

1.90goals per match
Mallorca conceded2.40
Matchup

Mallorca attack

0.70goals per match
Betis conceded1.40
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.10
1H goals scored
0.20
0.80
1H goals conceded
1.00
90%9/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
0%0/10
0.80
2H goals scored
0.50
0.60
2H goals conceded
1.40
100%10/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
20%2/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.20N=10
Corners for
4.10N=10
5.10
Corners against
4.20
9.30
Match total
8.30
40%4/10
Over 8.5
50%5/10
30%3/10
Over 9.5
20%2/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

3.20N=10
For
2.40N=10
6.50
Match total
5.80
100%10/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

11.80N=10
Committed
13.20N=10
28.40
Match total
30.30

Shots

13.60N=10
Shots
9.80N=10
4.70
On target
3.00
14%
Conversion
7%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches25
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home64.6%88.0%+23.4 pp
Draw21.1%8.0%-13.1 pp
Away14.3%4.0%-10.3 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.588.0%
Over 2.572.0%
Over 3.532.0%
BTTS48.0%

Historical average

2.640.60

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-124.0%
3-016.0%
2-012.0%
1-08.0%
3-18.0%

Comparable corner averages

6.603.28
Average total9.88

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=25.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.568.0%
Over 9.544.0%
Over 10.536.0%
Over 11.528.0%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches11
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT72.7%43.4%–90.3% CI
Draw FT27.3%9.7%–56.6% CI
Away FT0.0%0.0%–25.9% CI

Remaining goals

2.36

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal90.9%
2+ goals81.8%
3+ goals54.5%

Who scores in 2H

Home90.9%
Away27.3%