La Liga · 2019/20
2020-02-16 · 20:00
11.2874.6%
X5.9416.1%
210.209.4%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Real Madrid
WWWWDWWDWW
8W 2D 0L · 2.60 PPM
Celta
DLLLLWLLDL
1W 2D 7L · 0.50 PPM

Goals

2.20
Scored
0.90
0.60
Conceded
1.90
50%
Over 2.5
50%
40%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.20
1H goals
0.70
1.60
2H goals
2.10
80%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

6.10N=10
For
4.70N=10
4.00
Against
6.60
10.10
Total
11.30
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.20
Goals scored
0.90
0.60
Goals conceded
1.90
2.80
Total goals
2.80
70%7/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
40%4/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Real Madrid attack

2.20goals per match
Celta conceded1.90
Matchup

Celta attack

0.90goals per match
Real Madrid conceded0.60
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.10
1H goals scored
0.20
0.10
1H goals conceded
0.50
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
40%4/10
50%5/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
1.10
2H goals scored
0.70
0.50
2H goals conceded
1.40
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
80%8/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.10N=10
Corners for
4.70N=10
4.00
Corners against
6.60
10.10
Match total
11.30
60%6/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
80%8/10
80%8/10
Team over 4.5
60%6/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.20N=10
For
2.60N=10
4.80
Match total
6.60
80%8/10
Over 3.5
100%10/10

Fouls

13.20N=10
Committed
13.00N=10
26.80
Match total
28.10

Shots

18.60N=10
Shots
9.70N=10
7.80
On target
4.00
12%
Conversion
9%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches11
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home74.6%81.8%+7.2 pp
Draw16.1%9.1%-7.0 pp
Away9.4%9.1%-0.3 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.5100.0%
Over 2.590.9%
Over 3.545.5%
BTTS36.4%

Historical average

3.090.55

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

3-027.3%
4-018.2%
2-29.1%
4-19.1%
2-09.1%

Comparable corner averages

6.732.73
Average total9.45

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=11.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.545.5%
Over 9.545.5%
Over 10.545.5%
Over 11.527.3%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches15
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT80.0%54.8%–93.0% CI
Draw FT13.3%3.7%–37.9% CI
Away FT6.7%1.2%–29.8% CI

Remaining goals

2.53

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal93.3%
2+ goals73.3%
3+ goals53.3%

Who scores in 2H

Home86.7%
Away26.7%