La Liga · 2019/20
2020-02-16 · 17:30
12.0346.9%
X3.1929.8%
24.0923.3%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Ath Bilbao
WWLDWWWDDL
5W 3D 2L · 1.80 PPM
Osasuna
DLDLDDWLDL
1W 5D 4L · 0.80 PPM
Goals
1.30
Scored
1.00
0.60
Conceded
1.50
20%
Over 2.5
30%
30%
BTTS
60%
By half
1.00
1H goals
0.60
0.90
2H goals
1.90
70%
Goal in 2H
80%
Corners
5.60N=10
For
5.20N=10
3.40
Against
5.80
9.00
Total
11.00
Signals
Key historical patterns
strongAt least one second-half goal
7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.30
Goals scored
1.00
0.60
Goals conceded
1.50
1.90
Total goals
2.50
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Ath Bilbao attack
1.30goals per matchOsasuna conceded1.50Matchup
Osasuna attack
1.00goals per matchAth Bilbao conceded0.60Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.00
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.60
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.60
2H goals scored
1.00
0.30
2H goals conceded
0.90
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
5.60N=10
Corners for
5.20N=10
3.40
Corners against
5.80
9.00
Match total
11.00
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.40N=10
For
3.00N=10
5.70
Match total
5.30
Over 3.5
Fouls
13.40N=10
Committed
13.80N=10
28.30
Match total
26.90
Shots
14.30N=10
Shots
11.80N=10
5.10
On target
3.40
9%
Conversion
8%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches52
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home46.9%50.0%+3.1 pp
Draw29.8%30.8%+0.9 pp
Away23.3%19.2%-4.0 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.567.3%
Over 2.546.2%
Over 3.526.9%
BTTS50.0%
Historical average
1.48–0.92
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
0-015.4%
1-013.5%
1-111.5%
2-17.7%
3-17.7%
Comparable corner averages
5.42–4.10
Average total9.52
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=52.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.565.4%
Over 9.553.8%
Over 10.536.5%
Over 11.526.9%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches22
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT40.9%23.3%–61.3% CI
Draw FT45.5%26.9%–65.3% CI
Away FT13.6%4.7%–33.3% CI
Remaining goals
1.45
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal63.6%
2+ goals40.9%
3+ goals22.7%
Who scores in 2H
Home54.5%
Away36.4%