La Liga · 2019/20
2020-02-16 · 11:00
11.6059.7%
X3.9124.4%
26.0015.9%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Sevilla
LWWWDWLDWD
5W 3D 2L · 1.80 PPM
Espanol
WDLWLLLLWL
3W 1D 6L · 1.00 PPM

Goals

1.30
Scored
0.80
0.80
Conceded
1.70
20%
Over 2.5
50%
50%
BTTS
50%

By half

0.70
1H goals
1.10
1.40
2H goals
1.40
90%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

7.50N=10
For
4.50N=10
2.40
Against
4.30
9.90
Total
8.80
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.30
Goals scored
0.80
0.80
Goals conceded
1.70
2.10
Total goals
2.50
70%7/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
20%2/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
10%1/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
50%5/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Sevilla attack

1.30goals per match
Espanol conceded1.70
Matchup

Espanol attack

0.80goals per match
Sevilla conceded0.80
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
0.40
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.70
50%5/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.90
2H goals scored
0.40
0.50
2H goals conceded
1.00
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
70%7/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
7.50N=10
Corners for
4.50N=10
2.40
Corners against
4.30
9.90
Match total
8.80
70%7/10
Over 8.5
50%5/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
90%9/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.50N=10
For
3.30N=10
4.50
Match total
5.10
70%7/10
Over 3.5
90%9/10

Fouls

13.10N=10
Committed
16.80N=10
26.70
Match total
28.90

Shots

15.00N=10
Shots
11.70N=10
4.70
On target
3.20
9%
Conversion
7%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches20
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home59.7%65.0%+5.3 pp
Draw24.4%20.0%-4.4 pp
Away15.9%15.0%-0.9 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.570.0%
Over 2.545.0%
Over 3.540.0%
BTTS50.0%

Historical average

1.850.85

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-020.0%
2-010.0%
3-110.0%
1-110.0%
2-25.0%

Comparable corner averages

5.853.85
Average total9.70

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=20.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.560.0%
Over 9.550.0%
Over 10.535.0%
Over 11.535.0%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches13
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT53.8%29.1%–76.8% CI
Draw FT23.1%8.2%–50.3% CI
Away FT23.1%8.2%–50.3% CI

Remaining goals

1.00

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal84.6%
2+ goals15.4%
3+ goals0.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home61.5%
Away30.8%