La Liga · 2019/20
2020-02-15 · 12:00
12.4439.0%
X3.1330.4%
23.1130.6%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Mallorca
DLWWDWLLWL
4W 2D 4L · 1.40 PPM
Alaves
LLLLLWLLWD
2W 1D 7L · 0.70 PPM

Goals

1.30
Scored
0.90
1.10
Conceded
2.30
40%
Over 2.5
60%
40%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.20
1H goals
1.20
1.20
2H goals
2.00
80%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

4.30N=10
For
3.40N=10
4.90
Against
5.40
9.20
Total
8.80
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.30
Goals scored
0.90
1.10
Goals conceded
2.30
2.40
Total goals
3.20
70%7/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
40%4/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Mallorca attack

1.30goals per match
Alaves conceded2.30
Matchup

Alaves attack

0.90goals per match
Mallorca conceded1.10
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.80
1H goals scored
0.10
0.40
1H goals conceded
1.10
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
50%5/10
Leading at HT
0%0/10
0.50
2H goals scored
0.80
0.70
2H goals conceded
1.20
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
20%2/10
More goals in 2H
70%7/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.30N=10
Corners for
3.40N=10
4.90
Corners against
5.40
9.20
Match total
8.80
50%5/10
Over 8.5
40%4/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
30%3/10
40%4/10
Team over 4.5
20%2/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

3.00N=10
For
3.00N=10
6.30
Match total
4.70
100%10/10
Over 3.5
80%8/10

Fouls

14.10N=10
Committed
15.60N=10
27.40
Match total
26.70

Shots

10.20N=10
Shots
7.80N=10
3.20
On target
2.90
13%
Conversion
12%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches79
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home39.0%38.0%-1.0 pp
Draw30.4%39.2%+8.8 pp
Away30.6%22.8%-7.8 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.559.5%
Over 2.529.1%
Over 3.512.7%
BTTS41.8%

Historical average

1.060.86

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-121.5%
1-015.2%
0-013.9%
0-111.4%
2-08.9%

Comparable corner averages

5.194.11
Average total9.30

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=79.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.558.2%
Over 9.543.0%
Over 10.536.7%
Over 11.529.1%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches28
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT28.6%15.3%–47.1% CI
Draw FT46.4%29.5%–64.2% CI
Away FT25.0%12.7%–43.4% CI

Remaining goals

1.07

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal60.7%
2+ goals21.4%
3+ goals14.3%

Who scores in 2H

Home42.9%
Away32.1%