La Liga · 2019/20
2020-02-14 · 20:00
13.5227.1%
X3.0631.2%
22.2941.7%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Valencia
DDWDWWDWWW
6W 4D 0L · 2.20 PPM
Ath Madrid
LWDDDDDWLL
2W 5D 3L · 1.10 PPM
Goals
1.60
Scored
0.70
0.80
Conceded
0.90
30%
Over 2.5
10%
60%
BTTS
40%
By half
0.90
1H goals
0.30
1.50
2H goals
1.30
80%
Goal in 2H
80%
Corners
4.60N=10
For
4.80N=10
4.10
Against
5.50
8.70
Total
10.30
Signals
Key historical patterns
very strongAt least one second-half goal
8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
strongOver 8.5 corners
7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.60
Goals scored
0.70
0.80
Goals conceded
0.90
2.40
Total goals
1.60
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Valencia attack
1.60goals per matchAth Madrid conceded0.90Matchup
Ath Madrid attack
0.70goals per matchValencia conceded0.80Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.10
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.20
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
1.00
2H goals scored
0.60
0.50
2H goals conceded
0.70
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
4.60N=10
Corners for
4.80N=10
4.10
Corners against
5.50
8.70
Match total
10.30
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.10N=10
For
3.00N=10
5.30
Match total
6.00
Over 3.5
Fouls
11.70N=10
Committed
13.80N=10
30.20
Match total
28.10
Shots
10.20N=10
Shots
11.60N=10
4.30
On target
3.30
16%
Conversion
6%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches19
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home27.1%21.1%-6.1 pp
Draw31.2%26.3%-4.9 pp
Away41.7%52.6%+10.9 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.547.4%
Over 2.526.3%
Over 3.515.8%
BTTS26.3%
Historical average
0.68–1.16
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
0-126.3%
0-015.8%
0-210.5%
2-010.5%
1-210.5%
Comparable corner averages
3.68–5.68
Average total9.37
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=19.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.563.2%
Over 9.547.4%
Over 10.536.8%
Over 11.515.8%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches11
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT45.5%21.3%–72.0% CI
Draw FT27.3%9.7%–56.6% CI
Away FT27.3%9.7%–56.6% CI
Remaining goals
1.00
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal72.7%
2+ goals27.3%
3+ goals0.0%
Who scores in 2H
Home45.5%
Away27.3%