La Liga · 2019/20
2020-02-14 · 20:00
13.5227.1%
X3.0631.2%
22.2941.7%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Valencia
DDWDWWDWWW
6W 4D 0L · 2.20 PPM
Ath Madrid
LWDDDDDWLL
2W 5D 3L · 1.10 PPM

Goals

1.60
Scored
0.70
0.80
Conceded
0.90
30%
Over 2.5
10%
60%
BTTS
40%

By half

0.90
1H goals
0.30
1.50
2H goals
1.30
80%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

4.60N=10
For
4.80N=10
4.10
Against
5.50
8.70
Total
10.30
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.60
Goals scored
0.70
0.80
Goals conceded
0.90
2.40
Total goals
1.60
80%8/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
30%3/10
Over 2.5
10%1/10
10%1/10
Over 3.5
0%0/10
60%6/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Valencia attack

1.60goals per match
Ath Madrid conceded0.90
Matchup

Ath Madrid attack

0.70goals per match
Valencia conceded0.80
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.10
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.20
50%5/10
Over 0.5 1H
30%3/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
1.00
2H goals scored
0.60
0.50
2H goals conceded
0.70
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.60N=10
Corners for
4.80N=10
4.10
Corners against
5.50
8.70
Match total
10.30
70%7/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
60%6/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.10N=10
For
3.00N=10
5.30
Match total
6.00
80%8/10
Over 3.5
80%8/10

Fouls

11.70N=10
Committed
13.80N=10
30.20
Match total
28.10

Shots

10.20N=10
Shots
11.60N=10
4.30
On target
3.30
16%
Conversion
6%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches19
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home27.1%21.1%-6.1 pp
Draw31.2%26.3%-4.9 pp
Away41.7%52.6%+10.9 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.547.4%
Over 2.526.3%
Over 3.515.8%
BTTS26.3%

Historical average

0.681.16

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

0-126.3%
0-015.8%
0-210.5%
2-010.5%
1-210.5%

Comparable corner averages

3.685.68
Average total9.37

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=19.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.563.2%
Over 9.547.4%
Over 10.536.8%
Over 11.515.8%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches11
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT45.5%21.3%–72.0% CI
Draw FT27.3%9.7%–56.6% CI
Away FT27.3%9.7%–56.6% CI

Remaining goals

1.00

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal72.7%
2+ goals27.3%
3+ goals0.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home45.5%
Away27.3%