La Liga · 2019/20
2020-02-09 · 17:30
13.3928.1%
X3.2729.1%
22.2342.7%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Celta
WLDWLLDDDD
2W 5D 3L · 1.10 PPM
Sevilla
WWLLDWWDWL
5W 2D 3L · 1.70 PPM
Goals
0.60
Scored
1.20
0.80
Conceded
1.20
10%
Over 2.5
40%
30%
BTTS
50%
By half
0.50
1H goals
1.30
0.90
2H goals
1.10
60%
Goal in 2H
70%
Corners
5.40N=10
For
4.80N=10
3.80
Against
4.30
9.20
Total
9.10
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateAt least one second-half goal
6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
0.60
Goals scored
1.20
0.80
Goals conceded
1.20
1.40
Total goals
2.40
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Celta attack
0.60goals per matchSevilla conceded1.20Matchup
Sevilla attack
1.20goals per matchCelta conceded0.80Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.20
1H goals scored
0.80
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.50
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.40
2H goals scored
0.40
0.50
2H goals conceded
0.70
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
5.40N=10
Corners for
4.80N=10
3.80
Corners against
4.30
9.20
Match total
9.10
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.40N=10
For
3.10N=10
5.40
Match total
6.90
Over 3.5
Fouls
10.60N=10
Committed
14.90N=10
26.70
Match total
28.70
Shots
12.60N=10
Shots
11.10N=10
3.80
On target
4.30
5%
Conversion
11%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches34
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home28.1%29.4%+1.3 pp
Draw29.1%38.2%+9.1 pp
Away42.7%32.4%-10.4 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.558.8%
Over 2.538.2%
Over 3.520.6%
BTTS35.3%
Historical average
1.06–1.09
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
0-017.6%
0-111.8%
1-011.8%
1-111.8%
2-25.9%
Comparable corner averages
4.15–5.41
Average total9.56
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=34.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.561.8%
Over 9.544.1%
Over 10.532.4%
Over 11.523.5%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches14
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT28.6%11.7%–54.6% CI
Draw FT50.0%26.8%–73.2% CI
Away FT21.4%7.6%–47.6% CI
Remaining goals
1.00
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal57.1%
2+ goals28.6%
3+ goals14.3%
Who scores in 2H
Home35.7%
Away35.7%