La Liga · 2019/20
2020-02-09 · 17:30
13.3928.1%
X3.2729.1%
22.2342.7%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Celta
WLDWLLDDDD
2W 5D 3L · 1.10 PPM
Sevilla
WWLLDWWDWL
5W 2D 3L · 1.70 PPM

Goals

0.60
Scored
1.20
0.80
Conceded
1.20
10%
Over 2.5
40%
30%
BTTS
50%

By half

0.50
1H goals
1.30
0.90
2H goals
1.10
60%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

5.40N=10
For
4.80N=10
3.80
Against
4.30
9.20
Total
9.10
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.60
Goals scored
1.20
0.80
Goals conceded
1.20
1.40
Total goals
2.40
40%4/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
10%1/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
10%1/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
30%3/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Celta attack

0.60goals per match
Sevilla conceded1.20
Matchup

Sevilla attack

1.20goals per match
Celta conceded0.80
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.20
1H goals scored
0.80
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.50
40%4/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
10%1/10
Leading at HT
50%5/10
0.40
2H goals scored
0.40
0.50
2H goals conceded
0.70
60%6/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.40N=10
Corners for
4.80N=10
3.80
Corners against
4.30
9.20
Match total
9.10
60%6/10
Over 8.5
40%4/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
30%3/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.40N=10
For
3.10N=10
5.40
Match total
6.90
80%8/10
Over 3.5
90%9/10

Fouls

10.60N=10
Committed
14.90N=10
26.70
Match total
28.70

Shots

12.60N=10
Shots
11.10N=10
3.80
On target
4.30
5%
Conversion
11%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches34
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home28.1%29.4%+1.3 pp
Draw29.1%38.2%+9.1 pp
Away42.7%32.4%-10.4 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.558.8%
Over 2.538.2%
Over 3.520.6%
BTTS35.3%

Historical average

1.061.09

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

0-017.6%
0-111.8%
1-011.8%
1-111.8%
2-25.9%

Comparable corner averages

4.155.41
Average total9.56

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=34.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.561.8%
Over 9.544.1%
Over 10.532.4%
Over 11.523.5%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches14
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT28.6%11.7%–54.6% CI
Draw FT50.0%26.8%–73.2% CI
Away FT21.4%7.6%–47.6% CI

Remaining goals

1.00

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal57.1%
2+ goals28.6%
3+ goals14.3%

Who scores in 2H

Home35.7%
Away35.7%