La Liga · 2019/20
2020-02-09 · 13:00
12.1045.3%
X3.2029.7%
23.8125.0%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Sociedad
WWLWLDWDLW
5W 2D 3L · 1.70 PPM
Ath Bilbao
DDLLDWLDDD
1W 6D 3L · 0.90 PPM

Goals

2.10
Scored
0.70
1.10
Conceded
1.00
80%
Over 2.5
20%
70%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.40
1H goals
0.80
1.80
2H goals
0.90
90%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

6.60N=10
For
4.50N=10
3.80
Against
5.50
10.40
Total
10.00
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.10
Goals scored
0.70
1.10
Goals conceded
1.00
3.20
Total goals
1.70
100%10/10
Over 1.5
60%6/10
80%8/10
Over 2.5
20%2/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
70%7/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Sociedad attack

2.10goals per match
Ath Bilbao conceded1.00
Matchup

Ath Bilbao attack

0.70goals per match
Sociedad conceded1.10
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.90
1H goals scored
0.40
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.40
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
50%5/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
1.20
2H goals scored
0.30
0.60
2H goals conceded
0.60
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.60N=10
Corners for
4.50N=10
3.80
Corners against
5.50
10.40
Match total
10.00
80%8/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
70%7/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
90%9/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.90N=10
For
2.30N=10
5.30
Match total
4.30
80%8/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

13.80N=10
Committed
14.80N=10
27.10
Match total
27.10

Shots

14.50N=10
Shots
8.60N=10
4.70
On target
2.50
14%
Conversion
8%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches54
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home45.3%35.2%-10.1 pp
Draw29.7%35.2%+5.5 pp
Away25.0%29.6%+4.7 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.566.7%
Over 2.540.7%
Over 3.514.8%
BTTS46.3%

Historical average

1.150.94

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-114.8%
0-014.8%
0-111.1%
2-09.3%
1-29.3%

Comparable corner averages

5.894.20
Average total10.09

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=54.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.563.0%
Over 9.555.6%
Over 10.540.7%
Over 11.533.3%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches20
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT20.0%8.1%–41.6% CI
Draw FT50.0%29.9%–70.1% CI
Away FT30.0%14.5%–51.9% CI

Remaining goals

0.95

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal60.0%
2+ goals30.0%
3+ goals5.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home35.0%
Away40.0%