La Liga · 2019/20
2020-02-08 · 20:00
11.4068.1%
X4.1922.8%
210.449.1%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Ath Madrid
WDDDWWLWWD
5W 4D 1L · 1.90 PPM
Granada
WWDLLLLLLL
2W 1D 7L · 0.70 PPM

Goals

1.30
Scored
0.90
0.60
Conceded
1.80
30%
Over 2.5
40%
40%
BTTS
30%

By half

1.00
1H goals
1.30
0.90
2H goals
1.40
60%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

6.40N=10
For
3.70N=10
4.50
Against
5.10
10.90
Total
8.80
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

6/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.30
Goals scored
0.90
0.60
Goals conceded
1.80
1.90
Total goals
2.70
60%6/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
30%3/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
40%4/10
BTTS
30%3/10
Matchup

Ath Madrid attack

1.30goals per match
Granada conceded1.80
Matchup

Granada attack

0.90goals per match
Ath Madrid conceded0.60
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.30
0.40
1H goals conceded
1.00
50%5/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.70
2H goals scored
0.60
0.20
2H goals conceded
0.80
60%6/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
20%2/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.40N=10
Corners for
3.70N=10
4.50
Corners against
5.10
10.90
Match total
8.80
80%8/10
Over 8.5
50%5/10
80%8/10
Over 9.5
30%3/10
80%8/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.90N=10
For
3.40N=10
4.80
Match total
6.40
60%6/10
Over 3.5
100%10/10

Fouls

12.80N=10
Committed
15.20N=10
25.50
Match total
29.40

Shots

14.30N=10
Shots
9.70N=10
4.20
On target
2.50
9%
Conversion
9%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier B
Comparable matches11
Method1X2 + O/U
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home68.1%54.5%-13.6 pp
Draw22.8%36.4%+13.6 pp
Away9.1%9.1%-0.0 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.572.7%
Over 2.545.5%
Over 3.527.3%
BTTS54.5%

Historical average

1.640.82

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-018.2%
1-118.2%
0-09.1%
3-09.1%
2-09.1%

Comparable corner averages

5.732.82
Average total8.55

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=11.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.545.5%
Over 9.545.5%
Over 10.545.5%
Over 11.59.1%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches15
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT66.7%41.7%–84.8% CI
Draw FT26.7%10.9%–52.0% CI
Away FT6.7%1.2%–29.8% CI

Remaining goals

1.73

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal80.0%
2+ goals60.0%
3+ goals33.3%

Who scores in 2H

Home80.0%
Away20.0%