La Liga · 2019/20
2020-02-02 · 17:30
11.7753.9%
X3.8724.7%
24.4521.4%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Villarreal
DDWWWDLDWL
4W 4D 2L · 1.60 PPM
Osasuna
WDLDLDDWLD
2W 5D 3L · 1.10 PPM

Goals

2.00
Scored
1.00
1.30
Conceded
1.20
60%
Over 2.5
20%
60%
BTTS
50%

By half

0.70
1H goals
0.50
2.60
2H goals
1.70
80%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

4.80N=10
For
4.60N=10
6.10
Against
6.20
10.90
Total
10.80
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

8/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.00
Goals scored
1.00
1.30
Goals conceded
1.20
3.30
Total goals
2.20
70%7/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
20%2/10
50%5/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
60%6/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Villarreal attack

2.00goals per match
Osasuna conceded1.20
Matchup

Osasuna attack

1.00goals per match
Villarreal conceded1.30
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
0.00
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.50
50%5/10
Over 0.5 1H
50%5/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
0%0/10
1.60
2H goals scored
1.00
1.00
2H goals conceded
0.70
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
70%7/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.80N=10
Corners for
4.60N=10
6.10
Corners against
6.20
10.90
Match total
10.80
80%8/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
40%4/10
Team over 4.5
60%6/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.00N=10
For
3.20N=10
4.10
Match total
5.30
70%7/10
Over 3.5
80%8/10

Fouls

11.10N=10
Committed
13.40N=10
23.40
Match total
26.30

Shots

15.70N=10
Shots
10.50N=10
5.60
On target
3.10
13%
Conversion
10%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches40
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home53.9%55.0%+1.1 pp
Draw24.7%32.5%+7.8 pp
Away21.4%12.5%-8.9 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.582.5%
Over 2.552.5%
Over 3.540.0%
BTTS62.5%

Historical average

1.901.00

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-122.5%
1-015.0%
2-210.0%
2-07.5%
1-37.5%

Comparable corner averages

6.754.42
Average total11.18

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=40.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.580.0%
Over 9.570.0%
Over 10.550.0%
Over 11.537.5%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches11
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT63.6%35.4%–84.8% CI
Draw FT27.3%9.7%–56.6% CI
Away FT9.1%1.6%–37.7% CI

Remaining goals

1.82

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal90.9%
2+ goals45.5%
3+ goals27.3%

Who scores in 2H

Home90.9%
Away36.4%