La Liga · 2019/20
2020-02-02 · 17:30
11.3570.4%
X4.9519.2%
29.1110.4%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Sevilla
DLWWWDWLDW
5W 3D 2L · 1.80 PPM
Alaves
DLLLLLWLLW
2W 1D 7L · 0.70 PPM

Goals

1.30
Scored
0.90
0.80
Conceded
2.30
20%
Over 2.5
60%
50%
BTTS
50%

By half

0.70
1H goals
1.40
1.40
2H goals
1.80
90%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

7.80N=10
For
3.50N=10
2.40
Against
5.20
10.20
Total
8.70
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.30
Goals scored
0.90
0.80
Goals conceded
2.30
2.10
Total goals
3.20
70%7/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
20%2/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
10%1/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
50%5/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Sevilla attack

1.30goals per match
Alaves conceded2.30
Matchup

Alaves attack

0.90goals per match
Sevilla conceded0.80
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
0.20
0.30
1H goals conceded
1.20
50%5/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
0%0/10
0.90
2H goals scored
0.70
0.50
2H goals conceded
1.10
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
70%7/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
7.80N=10
Corners for
3.50N=10
2.40
Corners against
5.20
10.20
Match total
8.70
80%8/10
Over 8.5
40%4/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
30%3/10
90%9/10
Team over 4.5
20%2/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.70N=10
For
3.00N=10
4.80
Match total
4.80
80%8/10
Over 3.5
90%9/10

Fouls

13.40N=10
Committed
16.10N=10
26.70
Match total
27.00

Shots

15.50N=10
Shots
7.90N=10
4.90
On target
2.70
8%
Conversion
11%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches17
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home70.4%58.8%-11.6 pp
Draw19.2%23.5%+4.3 pp
Away10.4%17.6%+7.2 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.558.8%
Over 2.535.3%
Over 3.523.5%
BTTS35.3%

Historical average

1.470.76

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-035.3%
2-217.6%
2-011.8%
0-15.9%
0-25.9%

Comparable corner averages

7.243.47
Average total10.71

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=17.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.576.5%
Over 9.564.7%
Over 10.541.2%
Over 11.529.4%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches10
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT90.0%59.6%–98.2% CI
Draw FT0.0%0.0%–27.8% CI
Away FT10.0%1.8%–40.4% CI

Remaining goals

1.30

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal100.0%
2+ goals20.0%
3+ goals10.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home90.0%
Away20.0%