La Liga · 2019/20
2020-02-01 · 20:00
11.8152.7%
X3.6126.4%
24.5520.9%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Valencia
WDDWDWWDWW
6W 4D 0L · 2.20 PPM
Celta
DDLLLLWLLD
1W 3D 6L · 0.60 PPM

Goals

1.70
Scored
1.00
0.80
Conceded
1.90
30%
Over 2.5
50%
60%
BTTS
70%

By half

1.00
1H goals
0.70
1.50
2H goals
2.20
80%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

4.90N=10
For
4.10N=10
3.80
Against
7.10
8.70
Total
11.20
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateBoth teams scored

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.70
Goals scored
1.00
0.80
Goals conceded
1.90
2.50
Total goals
2.90
90%9/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
30%3/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
10%1/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
60%6/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

Valencia attack

1.70goals per match
Celta conceded1.90
Matchup

Celta attack

1.00goals per match
Valencia conceded0.80
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.20
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.50
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
40%4/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
1.00
2H goals scored
0.80
0.50
2H goals conceded
1.40
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
80%8/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.90N=10
Corners for
4.10N=10
3.80
Corners against
7.10
8.70
Match total
11.20
70%7/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
80%8/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.50N=10
For
2.50N=10
4.50
Match total
6.30
70%7/10
Over 3.5
100%10/10

Fouls

10.90N=10
Committed
11.90N=10
29.30
Match total
27.20

Shots

10.20N=10
Shots
8.80N=10
4.20
On target
3.70
17%
Conversion
11%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches33
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home52.7%48.5%-4.2 pp
Draw26.4%33.3%+6.9 pp
Away20.9%18.2%-2.8 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.569.7%
Over 2.533.3%
Over 3.515.2%
BTTS36.4%

Historical average

1.360.94

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-118.2%
1-015.2%
2-015.2%
3-09.1%
0-09.1%

Comparable corner averages

4.794.12
Average total8.91

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=33.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.560.6%
Over 9.533.3%
Over 10.521.2%
Over 11.59.1%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches17
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT35.3%17.3%–58.7% CI
Draw FT41.2%21.6%–64.0% CI
Away FT23.5%9.6%–47.3% CI

Remaining goals

1.29

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal76.5%
2+ goals47.1%
3+ goals5.9%

Who scores in 2H

Home52.9%
Away47.1%