La Liga · 2019/20
2020-01-25 · 17:30
12.8034.0%
X3.2429.4%
22.6036.6%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Alaves
WDLWWDWLDD
4W 4D 2L · 1.60 PPM
Villarreal
LWLLWLLLWW
4W 0D 6L · 1.20 PPM

Goals

1.20
Scored
1.40
0.60
Conceded
1.50
20%
Over 2.5
90%
40%
BTTS
80%

By half

0.50
1H goals
1.20
1.30
2H goals
1.70
80%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

3.90N=10
For
4.20N=10
4.50
Against
7.30
8.40
Total
11.50
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.20
Goals scored
1.40
0.60
Goals conceded
1.50
1.80
Total goals
2.90
70%7/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
20%2/10
Over 2.5
90%9/10
0%0/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
40%4/10
BTTS
80%8/10
Matchup

Alaves attack

1.20goals per match
Villarreal conceded1.50
Matchup

Villarreal attack

1.40goals per match
Alaves conceded0.60
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.30
1H goals scored
0.70
0.20
1H goals conceded
0.50
40%4/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
50%5/10
0.90
2H goals scored
0.70
0.40
2H goals conceded
1.00
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
3.90N=10
Corners for
4.20N=10
4.50
Corners against
7.30
8.40
Match total
11.50
50%5/10
Over 8.5
90%9/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
80%8/10
20%2/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

3.60N=10
For
1.90N=10
6.20
Match total
4.00
90%9/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10

Fouls

17.40N=10
Committed
13.30N=10
30.00
Match total
24.10

Shots

9.80N=10
Shots
14.70N=10
2.90
On target
4.30
12%
Conversion
10%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches89
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home34.0%27.0%-7.0 pp
Draw29.4%30.3%+1.0 pp
Away36.6%42.7%+6.1 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.569.7%
Over 2.549.4%
Over 3.525.8%
BTTS57.3%

Historical average

1.111.38

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-114.6%
0-113.5%
1-211.2%
1-09.0%
2-27.9%

Comparable corner averages

5.365.01
Average total10.37

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=89.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.569.7%
Over 9.555.1%
Over 10.542.7%
Over 11.530.3%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches29
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT20.7%9.8%–38.4% CI
Draw FT31.0%17.3%–49.2% CI
Away FT48.3%31.4%–65.6% CI

Remaining goals

1.55

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal75.9%
2+ goals37.9%
3+ goals20.7%

Who scores in 2H

Home37.9%
Away62.1%