La Liga · 2019/20
2020-01-25 · 17:30
12.8034.0%
X3.2429.4%
22.6036.6%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Alaves
WDLWWDWLDD
4W 4D 2L · 1.60 PPM
Villarreal
LWLLWLLLWW
4W 0D 6L · 1.20 PPM
Goals
1.20
Scored
1.40
0.60
Conceded
1.50
20%
Over 2.5
90%
40%
BTTS
80%
By half
0.50
1H goals
1.20
1.30
2H goals
1.70
80%
Goal in 2H
80%
Corners
3.90N=10
For
4.20N=10
4.50
Against
7.30
8.40
Total
11.50
Signals
Key historical patterns
very strongAt least one second-half goal
8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.20
Goals scored
1.40
0.60
Goals conceded
1.50
1.80
Total goals
2.90
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Alaves attack
1.20goals per matchVillarreal conceded1.50Matchup
Villarreal attack
1.40goals per matchAlaves conceded0.60Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.30
1H goals scored
0.70
0.20
1H goals conceded
0.50
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.90
2H goals scored
0.70
0.40
2H goals conceded
1.00
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
3.90N=10
Corners for
4.20N=10
4.50
Corners against
7.30
8.40
Match total
11.50
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
3.60N=10
For
1.90N=10
6.20
Match total
4.00
Over 3.5
Fouls
17.40N=10
Committed
13.30N=10
30.00
Match total
24.10
Shots
9.80N=10
Shots
14.70N=10
2.90
On target
4.30
12%
Conversion
10%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches89
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home34.0%27.0%-7.0 pp
Draw29.4%30.3%+1.0 pp
Away36.6%42.7%+6.1 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.569.7%
Over 2.549.4%
Over 3.525.8%
BTTS57.3%
Historical average
1.11–1.38
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-114.6%
0-113.5%
1-211.2%
1-09.0%
2-27.9%
Comparable corner averages
5.36–5.01
Average total10.37
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=89.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.569.7%
Over 9.555.1%
Over 10.542.7%
Over 11.530.3%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches29
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT20.7%9.8%–38.4% CI
Draw FT31.0%17.3%–49.2% CI
Away FT48.3%31.4%–65.6% CI
Remaining goals
1.55
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal75.9%
2+ goals37.9%
3+ goals20.7%
Who scores in 2H
Home37.9%
Away62.1%