La Liga · 2019/20
2020-01-25 · 15:00
14.7720.0%
X4.2922.2%
21.6557.8%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Valencia
DWDDWDWWDW
5W 5D 0L · 2.00 PPM
Barcelona
LDLWWLWWDD
4W 3D 3L · 1.50 PPM

Goals

1.60
Scored
1.50
0.90
Conceded
1.30
30%
Over 2.5
60%
70%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.00
1H goals
0.90
1.50
2H goals
1.90
80%
Goal in 2H
100%

Corners

5.00N=10
For
4.20N=10
4.10
Against
3.90
9.10
Total
8.10
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.60
Goals scored
1.50
0.90
Goals conceded
1.30
2.50
Total goals
2.80
90%9/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
30%3/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
10%1/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
70%7/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Valencia attack

1.60goals per match
Barcelona conceded1.30
Matchup

Barcelona attack

1.50goals per match
Valencia conceded0.90
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.40
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.50
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
0.90
2H goals scored
1.10
0.60
2H goals conceded
0.80
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
100%10/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
70%7/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.00N=10
Corners for
4.20N=10
4.10
Corners against
3.90
9.10
Match total
8.10
70%7/10
Over 8.5
50%5/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
30%3/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
60%6/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.80N=10
For
2.60N=10
4.90
Match total
5.00
70%7/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

10.90N=10
Committed
11.40N=10
29.10
Match total
26.10

Shots

10.80N=10
Shots
10.20N=10
4.20
On target
4.60
15%
Conversion
15%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches10
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home20.0%0.0%-20.0 pp
Draw22.2%10.0%-12.2 pp
Away57.8%90.0%+32.2 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.580.0%
Over 2.580.0%
Over 3.540.0%
BTTS80.0%

Historical average

1.002.20

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-240.0%
0-120.0%
2-210.0%
2-310.0%
1-410.0%

Comparable corner averages

4.505.40
Average total9.90

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=10.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.570.0%
Over 9.570.0%
Over 10.540.0%
Over 11.520.0%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches22
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT18.2%7.3%–38.5% CI
Draw FT31.8%16.4%–52.7% CI
Away FT50.0%30.7%–69.3% CI

Remaining goals

1.14

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal72.7%
2+ goals31.8%
3+ goals9.1%

Who scores in 2H

Home31.8%
Away54.5%