La Liga · 2019/20
2020-01-18 · 15:00
11.6259.0%
X4.3022.2%
25.0818.8%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Current-season sample is not complete yetReal Madrid: 9/10 · Sevilla: 10/10 in the selected Home / Away context. Stats below use only 2019/20 by default.
Include previous seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Real Madrid
DWWWWDWWD
6W 3D 0L · 2.33 PPM
Sevilla
WWWLLDWWDW
6W 2D 2L · 2.00 PPM

Goals

2.22
Scored
1.30
0.67
Conceded
1.00
44%
Over 2.5
30%
44%
BTTS
40%

By half

1.33
1H goals
1.40
1.56
2H goals
0.90
78%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

6.44N=9
For
4.80N=10
3.67
Against
4.90
10.11
Total
9.70
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/9 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=9 N=10
2.22
Goals scored
1.30
0.67
Goals conceded
1.00
2.89
Total goals
2.30
78%7/9
Over 1.5
70%7/10
44%4/9
Over 2.5
30%3/10
44%4/9
Over 3.5
20%2/10
44%4/9
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Real Madrid attack

2.22goals per match
Sevilla conceded1.00
Matchup

Sevilla attack

1.30goals per match
Real Madrid conceded0.67
Timing

First & second half

N=9 N=10
1.22
1H goals scored
0.90
0.11
1H goals conceded
0.50
67%6/9
Over 0.5 1H
90%9/10
56%5/9
Leading at HT
60%6/10
1.00
2H goals scored
0.40
0.56
2H goals conceded
0.50
78%7/9
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
22%2/9
More goals in 2H
20%2/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=9 N=10
6.44N=9
Corners for
4.80N=10
3.67
Corners against
4.90
10.11
Match total
9.70
56%5/9
Over 8.5
50%5/10
56%5/9
Over 9.5
40%4/10
78%7/9
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.11N=9
For
3.20N=10
4.78
Match total
6.90
78%7/9
Over 3.5
90%9/10

Fouls

12.11N=9
Committed
15.40N=10
25.89
Match total
28.60

Shots

19.89N=9
Shots
11.50N=10
8.11
On target
4.40
11%
Conversion
11%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches24
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home59.0%58.3%-0.6 pp
Draw22.2%20.8%-1.4 pp
Away18.8%20.8%+2.0 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.575.0%
Over 2.554.2%
Over 3.525.0%
BTTS45.8%

Historical average

1.960.79

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-212.5%
1-112.5%
1-012.5%
4-08.3%
3-08.3%

Comparable corner averages

6.173.92
Average total10.08

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=24.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.570.8%
Over 9.558.3%
Over 10.545.8%
Over 11.529.2%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches13
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT38.5%17.7%–64.5% CI
Draw FT46.2%23.2%–70.9% CI
Away FT15.4%4.3%–42.2% CI

Remaining goals

1.00

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal69.2%
2+ goals23.1%
3+ goals7.7%

Who scores in 2H

Home53.8%
Away30.8%