La Liga · 2019/20
2020-01-18 · 15:00
11.6259.0%
X4.3022.2%
25.0818.8%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Current-season sample is not complete yetReal Madrid: 9/10 · Sevilla: 10/10 in the selected Home / Away context. Stats below use only 2019/20 by default.
Include previous seasonsQuick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Real Madrid
DWWWWDWWD
6W 3D 0L · 2.33 PPM
Sevilla
WWWLLDWWDW
6W 2D 2L · 2.00 PPM
Goals
2.22
Scored
1.30
0.67
Conceded
1.00
44%
Over 2.5
30%
44%
BTTS
40%
By half
1.33
1H goals
1.40
1.56
2H goals
0.90
78%
Goal in 2H
70%
Corners
6.44N=9
For
4.80N=10
3.67
Against
4.90
10.11
Total
9.70
Signals
Key historical patterns
strongAt least one second-half goal
7/9 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=9 N=10
2.22
Goals scored
1.30
0.67
Goals conceded
1.00
2.89
Total goals
2.30
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Real Madrid attack
2.22goals per matchSevilla conceded1.00Matchup
Sevilla attack
1.30goals per matchReal Madrid conceded0.67Timing
First & second half
N=9 N=10
1.22
1H goals scored
0.90
0.11
1H goals conceded
0.50
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
1.00
2H goals scored
0.40
0.56
2H goals conceded
0.50
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=9 N=10
6.44N=9
Corners for
4.80N=10
3.67
Corners against
4.90
10.11
Match total
9.70
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.11N=9
For
3.20N=10
4.78
Match total
6.90
Over 3.5
Fouls
12.11N=9
Committed
15.40N=10
25.89
Match total
28.60
Shots
19.89N=9
Shots
11.50N=10
8.11
On target
4.40
11%
Conversion
11%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches24
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home59.0%58.3%-0.6 pp
Draw22.2%20.8%-1.4 pp
Away18.8%20.8%+2.0 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.575.0%
Over 2.554.2%
Over 3.525.0%
BTTS45.8%
Historical average
1.96–0.79
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-212.5%
1-112.5%
1-012.5%
4-08.3%
3-08.3%
Comparable corner averages
6.17–3.92
Average total10.08
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=24.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.570.8%
Over 9.558.3%
Over 10.545.8%
Over 11.529.2%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches13
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT38.5%17.7%–64.5% CI
Draw FT46.2%23.2%–70.9% CI
Away FT15.4%4.3%–42.2% CI
Remaining goals
1.00
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal69.2%
2+ goals23.1%
3+ goals7.7%
Who scores in 2H
Home53.8%
Away30.8%