Serie B · 2025/26
2026-05-08 · 19:30
11.6555.4%
X3.8323.9%
24.4020.8%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Monza
WDWWWWWDWW
8W 2D 0L · 2.60 PPM
Empoli
WLLDLLDLLL
1W 2D 7L · 0.50 PPM

Goals

2.20
Scored
0.90
0.60
Conceded
1.80
60%
Over 2.5
50%
50%
BTTS
50%

By half

0.90
1H goals
0.90
1.90
2H goals
1.80
90%
Goal in 2H
100%

Corners

6.70N=10
For
3.90N=10
4.80
Against
6.20
11.50
Total
10.10
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

8/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.20
Goals scored
0.90
0.60
Goals conceded
1.80
2.80
Total goals
2.70
90%9/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
50%5/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Monza attack

2.20goals per match
Empoli conceded1.80
Matchup

Empoli attack

0.90goals per match
Monza conceded0.60
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.50
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.40
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
50%5/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
1.60
2H goals scored
0.40
0.30
2H goals conceded
1.40
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
100%10/10
70%7/10
More goals in 2H
80%8/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.70N=10
Corners for
3.90N=10
4.80
Corners against
6.20
11.50
Match total
10.10
80%8/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
70%7/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
80%8/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.50N=10
For
2.40N=10
3.60
Match total
3.90
40%4/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10

Fouls

11.10N=10
Committed
16.70N=10
25.00
Match total
29.20

Shots

16.20N=10
Shots
10.80N=10
6.00
On target
3.50
14%
Conversion
8%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches619
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home55.4%59.8%+4.4 pp
Draw23.9%23.4%-0.4 pp
Away20.8%16.8%-4.0 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.578.7%
Over 2.556.2%
Over 3.531.3%
BTTS56.7%

Historical average

1.911.01

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-112.1%
1-011.5%
1-110.7%
2-09.2%
0-06.5%

Comparable corner averages

6.143.98
Average total10.12

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=619.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.564.6%
Over 9.551.2%
Over 10.543.1%
Over 11.532.5%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches167
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT49.7%42.2%–57.2% CI
Draw FT37.1%30.2%–44.7% CI
Away FT13.2%8.9%–19.1% CI

Remaining goals

1.53

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal76.0%
2+ goals46.7%
3+ goals22.8%

Who scores in 2H

Home65.3%
Away37.1%