Serie B · 2025/26
2026-05-08 · 19:30
11.6555.4%
X3.8323.9%
24.4020.8%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Monza
WDWWWWWDWW
8W 2D 0L · 2.60 PPM
Empoli
WLLDLLDLLL
1W 2D 7L · 0.50 PPM
Goals
2.20
Scored
0.90
0.60
Conceded
1.80
60%
Over 2.5
50%
50%
BTTS
50%
By half
0.90
1H goals
0.90
1.90
2H goals
1.80
90%
Goal in 2H
100%
Corners
6.70N=10
For
3.90N=10
4.80
Against
6.20
11.50
Total
10.10
Signals
Key historical patterns
very strongAt least one second-half goal
9/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.
moderateOver 8.5 corners
8/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
2.20
Goals scored
0.90
0.60
Goals conceded
1.80
2.80
Total goals
2.70
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Monza attack
2.20goals per matchEmpoli conceded1.80Matchup
Empoli attack
0.90goals per matchMonza conceded0.60Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.50
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.40
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
1.60
2H goals scored
0.40
0.30
2H goals conceded
1.40
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
6.70N=10
Corners for
3.90N=10
4.80
Corners against
6.20
11.50
Match total
10.10
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.50N=10
For
2.40N=10
3.60
Match total
3.90
Over 3.5
Fouls
11.10N=10
Committed
16.70N=10
25.00
Match total
29.20
Shots
16.20N=10
Shots
10.80N=10
6.00
On target
3.50
14%
Conversion
8%
Market history
Similar historical matches
high · Tier A
Comparable matches619
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home55.4%59.8%+4.4 pp
Draw23.9%23.4%-0.4 pp
Away20.8%16.8%-4.0 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.578.7%
Over 2.556.2%
Over 3.531.3%
BTTS56.7%
Historical average
1.91–1.01
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
2-112.1%
1-011.5%
1-110.7%
2-09.2%
0-06.5%
Comparable corner averages
6.14–3.98
Average total10.12
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=619.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.564.6%
Over 9.551.2%
Over 10.543.1%
Over 11.532.5%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches167
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT49.7%42.2%–57.2% CI
Draw FT37.1%30.2%–44.7% CI
Away FT13.2%8.9%–19.1% CI
Remaining goals
1.53
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal76.0%
2+ goals46.7%
3+ goals22.8%
Who scores in 2H
Home65.3%
Away37.1%