Serie B · 2025/26
2026-05-08 · 19:30
11.5061.1%
X4.2421.6%
25.3117.3%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Cesena
LLWLLLDWDD
2W 3D 5L · 0.90 PPM
Padova
WLLDLWLLLL
2W 1D 7L · 0.70 PPM

Goals

1.20
Scored
0.80
1.70
Conceded
1.70
60%
Over 2.5
50%
60%
BTTS
40%

By half

1.10
1H goals
1.10
1.80
2H goals
1.40
80%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

6.50N=10
For
3.60N=10
3.70
Against
5.60
10.20
Total
9.20
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.20
Goals scored
0.80
1.70
Goals conceded
1.70
2.90
Total goals
2.50
80%8/10
Over 1.5
60%6/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
50%5/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
60%6/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Cesena attack

1.20goals per match
Padova conceded1.70
Matchup

Padova attack

0.80goals per match
Cesena conceded1.70
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.30
1H goals scored
0.30
0.80
1H goals conceded
0.80
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
10%1/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.90
2H goals scored
0.50
0.90
2H goals conceded
0.90
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.50N=10
Corners for
3.60N=10
3.70
Corners against
5.60
10.20
Match total
9.20
70%7/10
Over 8.5
50%5/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.50N=10
For
2.40N=10
4.50
Match total
4.30
80%8/10
Over 3.5
80%8/10

Fouls

12.80N=10
Committed
14.30N=10
25.70
Match total
27.30

Shots

15.00N=10
Shots
8.60N=10
5.30
On target
3.20
8%
Conversion
9%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

medium · Tier A
Comparable matches384
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home61.1%65.6%+4.5 pp
Draw21.6%19.5%-2.1 pp
Away17.3%14.8%-2.4 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.577.6%
Over 2.556.0%
Over 3.536.7%
BTTS51.0%

Historical average

2.090.89

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-013.8%
2-010.4%
1-19.9%
2-18.6%
3-06.0%

Comparable corner averages

6.143.59
Average total9.73

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=384.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.561.5%
Over 9.550.5%
Over 10.537.8%
Over 11.528.9%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches105
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT52.4%42.9%–61.7% CI
Draw FT35.2%26.8%–44.7% CI
Away FT12.4%7.4%–20.0% CI

Remaining goals

1.57

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal86.7%
2+ goals48.6%
3+ goals16.2%

Who scores in 2H

Home76.2%
Away41.0%