Serie B · 2025/26
2026-05-08 · 19:30
12.6035.2%
X3.1629.0%
22.5635.8%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Catanzaro
WWDWWDWDDW
6W 4D 0L · 2.20 PPM
Bari
DLWLDWLLLL
2W 2D 6L · 0.80 PPM

Goals

1.90
Scored
0.70
0.90
Conceded
1.50
40%
Over 2.5
40%
50%
BTTS
40%

By half

1.30
1H goals
0.90
1.50
2H goals
1.30
80%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

4.00N=10
For
2.40N=10
5.40
Against
7.90
9.40
Total
10.30
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.90
Goals scored
0.70
0.90
Goals conceded
1.50
2.80
Total goals
2.20
80%8/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
50%5/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Catanzaro attack

1.90goals per match
Bari conceded1.50
Matchup

Bari attack

0.70goals per match
Catanzaro conceded0.90
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.90
1H goals scored
0.40
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.50
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
50%5/10
60%6/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
1.00
2H goals scored
0.30
0.50
2H goals conceded
1.00
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.00N=10
Corners for
2.40N=10
5.40
Corners against
7.90
9.40
Match total
10.30
60%6/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
30%3/10
Team over 4.5
0%0/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.80N=10
For
2.30N=10
4.10
Match total
4.70
70%7/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

12.00N=10
Committed
13.90N=10
31.10
Match total
27.40

Shots

13.20N=10
Shots
9.80N=10
4.90
On target
2.90
14%
Conversion
7%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches132
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home35.2%39.4%+4.2 pp
Draw29.0%28.8%-0.2 pp
Away35.8%31.8%-4.0 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.575.8%
Over 2.551.5%
Over 3.531.1%
BTTS55.3%

Historical average

1.401.33

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

0-010.6%
1-19.8%
2-19.1%
1-08.3%
2-07.6%

Comparable corner averages

5.114.96
Average total10.08

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=132.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.569.7%
Over 9.553.8%
Over 10.537.1%
Over 11.525.0%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches41
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT36.6%23.6%–51.9% CI
Draw FT41.5%27.8%–56.6% CI
Away FT22.0%12.0%–36.7% CI

Remaining goals

1.41

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal65.9%
2+ goals46.3%
3+ goals22.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home51.2%
Away39.0%