Serie B · 2025/26
2026-05-08 · 19:30
11.6157.0%
X3.6525.1%
25.1217.9%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Avellino
WLWLLDWWDW
5W 2D 3L · 1.70 PPM
Modena
LWDWWLLDDL
3W 3D 4L · 1.20 PPM

Goals

1.40
Scored
1.10
1.10
Conceded
1.20
50%
Over 2.5
40%
60%
BTTS
50%

By half

0.90
1H goals
1.60
1.60
2H goals
0.70
90%
Goal in 2H
60%

Corners

6.10N=10
For
6.40N=10
3.00
Against
5.40
9.10
Total
11.80
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.40
Goals scored
1.10
1.10
Goals conceded
1.20
2.50
Total goals
2.30
70%7/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
60%6/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Avellino attack

1.40goals per match
Modena conceded1.20
Matchup

Modena attack

1.10goals per match
Avellino conceded1.10
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.90
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.70
50%5/10
Over 0.5 1H
90%9/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
0.90
2H goals scored
0.20
0.70
2H goals conceded
0.50
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
60%6/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
0%0/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.10N=10
Corners for
6.40N=10
3.00
Corners against
5.40
9.10
Match total
11.80
60%6/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
90%9/10
Team over 4.5
70%7/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.80N=10
For
2.00N=10
5.70
Match total
3.90
70%7/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

14.30N=10
Committed
15.80N=10
30.10
Match total
27.30

Shots

13.20N=10
Shots
15.50N=10
4.30
On target
4.80
11%
Conversion
7%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches635
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home57.0%58.4%+1.5 pp
Draw25.1%24.9%-0.2 pp
Away17.9%16.7%-1.2 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.573.7%
Over 2.548.8%
Over 3.526.0%
BTTS49.3%

Historical average

1.720.90

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-015.6%
1-111.7%
2-110.2%
2-09.8%
3-06.3%

Comparable corner averages

6.073.61
Average total9.68

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=635.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.559.1%
Over 9.547.7%
Over 10.538.1%
Over 11.529.9%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches203
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT48.8%42.0%–55.6% CI
Draw FT34.5%28.3%–41.3% CI
Away FT16.7%12.2%–22.5% CI

Remaining goals

1.47

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal80.3%
2+ goals43.3%
3+ goals16.3%

Who scores in 2H

Home66.0%
Away37.4%