Serie B · 2025/26
2026-05-01 · 14:00
11.6356.2%
X3.7224.6%
24.7919.1%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Modena
LLDLWLDWWL
3W 2D 5L · 1.10 PPM
Reggiana
LLLLDWLLLL
1W 1D 8L · 0.40 PPM

Goals

1.20
Scored
0.50
1.10
Conceded
1.80
70%
Over 2.5
40%
60%
BTTS
40%

By half

0.80
1H goals
1.10
1.50
2H goals
1.20
80%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

4.00N=10
For
3.90N=10
3.60
Against
6.20
7.60
Total
10.10
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.20
Goals scored
0.50
1.10
Goals conceded
1.80
2.30
Total goals
2.30
80%8/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
0%0/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
60%6/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Modena attack

1.20goals per match
Reggiana conceded1.80
Matchup

Reggiana attack

0.50goals per match
Modena conceded1.10
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.40
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.70
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
50%5/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.70
2H goals scored
0.10
0.80
2H goals conceded
1.10
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.00N=10
Corners for
3.90N=10
3.60
Corners against
6.20
7.60
Match total
10.10
30%3/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
20%2/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.90N=10
For
3.00N=10
5.00
Match total
5.00
70%7/10
Over 3.5
80%8/10

Fouls

13.60N=10
Committed
18.00N=10
28.50
Match total
33.30

Shots

12.90N=10
Shots
9.80N=10
4.40
On target
2.90
9%
Conversion
5%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches782
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home56.2%58.3%+2.1 pp
Draw24.6%25.2%+0.6 pp
Away19.1%16.5%-2.6 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.576.0%
Over 2.551.2%
Over 3.527.1%
BTTS52.4%

Historical average

1.800.93

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-112.8%
1-111.6%
1-011.5%
2-010.4%
0-06.9%

Comparable corner averages

6.083.90
Average total9.98

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=782.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.562.1%
Over 9.552.8%
Over 10.540.5%
Over 11.530.9%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches231
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT46.8%40.4%–53.2% CI
Draw FT37.2%31.3%–43.6% CI
Away FT16.0%11.8%–21.3% CI

Remaining goals

1.38

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal76.6%
2+ goals40.3%
3+ goals15.2%

Who scores in 2H

Home61.5%
Away38.5%