Serie B · 2025/26
2026-05-01 · 14:00
12.1143.4%
X3.1529.1%
23.3227.6%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Empoli
LDLDLDDDWD
1W 6D 3L · 0.90 PPM
Avellino
LDLLDLWLLW
2W 2D 6L · 0.80 PPM

Goals

1.20
Scored
0.80
1.40
Conceded
1.50
40%
Over 2.5
40%
80%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.40
1H goals
0.90
1.20
2H goals
1.40
70%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

7.40N=10
For
3.40N=10
3.70
Against
5.60
11.10
Total
9.00
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

8/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.20
Goals scored
0.80
1.40
Goals conceded
1.50
2.60
Total goals
2.30
80%8/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
80%8/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Empoli attack

1.20goals per match
Avellino conceded1.50
Matchup

Avellino attack

0.80goals per match
Empoli conceded1.40
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
0.30
1.00
1H goals conceded
0.60
90%9/10
Over 0.5 1H
50%5/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
0.80
2H goals scored
0.50
0.40
2H goals conceded
0.90
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
10%1/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
7.40N=10
Corners for
3.40N=10
3.70
Corners against
5.60
11.10
Match total
9.00
80%8/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
70%7/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
90%9/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.50N=10
For
2.30N=10
3.80
Match total
4.20
80%8/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10

Fouls

13.80N=10
Committed
15.80N=10
29.00
Match total
30.60

Shots

16.50N=10
Shots
6.10N=10
4.80
On target
2.00
7%
Conversion
13%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches1,533
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home43.4%43.8%+0.5 pp
Draw29.1%31.1%+2.1 pp
Away27.6%25.0%-2.5 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.571.6%
Over 2.544.4%
Over 3.523.2%
BTTS53.5%

Historical average

1.391.06

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-115.6%
1-011.5%
2-111.2%
0-08.9%
0-18.0%

Comparable corner averages

5.264.31
Average total9.57

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=1,532.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.560.9%
Over 9.548.6%
Over 10.536.4%
Over 11.526.8%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches500
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitystrong
Home FT36.4%32.3%–40.7% CI
Draw FT41.0%36.8%–45.4% CI
Away FT22.6%19.2%–26.5% CI

Remaining goals

1.28

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal72.8%
2+ goals37.4%
3+ goals14.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home54.8%
Away42.8%