Serie B · 2025/26
2026-05-01 · 14:00
12.2540.8%
X3.3127.7%
22.9231.4%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Carrarese
DWWDLDLWWD
4W 4D 2L · 1.60 PPM
Cesena
DLWLLDDLLL
1W 3D 6L · 0.60 PPM
Goals
1.40
Scored
0.60
0.80
Conceded
1.80
40%
Over 2.5
40%
30%
BTTS
50%
By half
0.90
1H goals
1.00
1.30
2H goals
1.40
70%
Goal in 2H
90%
Corners
5.00N=10
For
3.60N=10
4.50
Against
5.70
9.50
Total
9.30
Signals
Key historical patterns
strongAt least one second-half goal
7/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.40
Goals scored
0.60
0.80
Goals conceded
1.80
2.20
Total goals
2.40
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Carrarese attack
1.40goals per matchCesena conceded1.80Matchup
Cesena attack
0.60goals per matchCarrarese conceded0.80Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.30
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.70
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.90
2H goals scored
0.30
0.40
2H goals conceded
1.10
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
5.00N=10
Corners for
3.60N=10
4.50
Corners against
5.70
9.50
Match total
9.30
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.40N=10
For
2.10N=10
3.20
Match total
3.40
Over 3.5
Fouls
12.20N=10
Committed
14.50N=10
28.60
Match total
24.80
Shots
13.80N=10
Shots
11.60N=10
4.90
On target
2.90
10%
Conversion
5%
Market history
Similar historical matches
high · Tier A
Comparable matches700
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home40.8%41.3%+0.5 pp
Draw27.7%28.3%+0.5 pp
Away31.4%30.4%-1.0 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.579.4%
Over 2.554.7%
Over 3.530.7%
BTTS59.6%
Historical average
1.50–1.29
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-112.6%
2-19.9%
1-29.6%
1-09.0%
2-07.6%
Comparable corner averages
5.36–4.58
Average total9.94
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=699.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.565.1%
Over 9.552.2%
Over 10.540.1%
Over 11.529.2%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches181
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT34.8%28.2%–42.0% CI
Draw FT39.2%32.4%–46.5% CI
Away FT26.0%20.1%–32.8% CI
Remaining goals
1.48
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal74.6%
2+ goals43.6%
3+ goals20.4%
Who scores in 2H
Home56.4%
Away45.9%