Serie B · 2025/26
2026-05-01 · 14:00
12.2540.8%
X3.3127.7%
22.9231.4%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Carrarese
DWWDLDLWWD
4W 4D 2L · 1.60 PPM
Cesena
DLWLLDDLLL
1W 3D 6L · 0.60 PPM

Goals

1.40
Scored
0.60
0.80
Conceded
1.80
40%
Over 2.5
40%
30%
BTTS
50%

By half

0.90
1H goals
1.00
1.30
2H goals
1.40
70%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

5.00N=10
For
3.60N=10
4.50
Against
5.70
9.50
Total
9.30
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.40
Goals scored
0.60
0.80
Goals conceded
1.80
2.20
Total goals
2.40
50%5/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
30%3/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Carrarese attack

1.40goals per match
Cesena conceded1.80
Matchup

Cesena attack

0.60goals per match
Carrarese conceded0.80
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.30
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.70
50%5/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
0.90
2H goals scored
0.30
0.40
2H goals conceded
1.10
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.00N=10
Corners for
3.60N=10
4.50
Corners against
5.70
9.50
Match total
9.30
60%6/10
Over 8.5
50%5/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.40N=10
For
2.10N=10
3.20
Match total
3.40
40%4/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10

Fouls

12.20N=10
Committed
14.50N=10
28.60
Match total
24.80

Shots

13.80N=10
Shots
11.60N=10
4.90
On target
2.90
10%
Conversion
5%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches700
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home40.8%41.3%+0.5 pp
Draw27.7%28.3%+0.5 pp
Away31.4%30.4%-1.0 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.579.4%
Over 2.554.7%
Over 3.530.7%
BTTS59.6%

Historical average

1.501.29

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-112.6%
2-19.9%
1-29.6%
1-09.0%
2-07.6%

Comparable corner averages

5.364.58
Average total9.94

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=699.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.565.1%
Over 9.552.2%
Over 10.540.1%
Over 11.529.2%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches181
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT34.8%28.2%–42.0% CI
Draw FT39.2%32.4%–46.5% CI
Away FT26.0%20.1%–32.8% CI

Remaining goals

1.48

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal74.6%
2+ goals43.6%
3+ goals20.4%

Who scores in 2H

Home56.4%
Away45.9%